TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: GIANTX iTero vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
⁠Movistar KOI Fénixof GIANTX iTero, ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,807
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$69,144

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,807 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd1a4…1774backed GIANTX iTero0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-69.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9506…b44fbacked GIANTX iTero0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick53cpaid+49.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed GIANTX iTero3c3,612$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.2289347%420 W · 473 L+44.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e24…4fabbacked GIANTX iTero19c2,335$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.0733857.7%195 W · 143 L+18.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked GIANTX iTero5c1,402$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.1685742.7%366 W · 491 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix80c1,399$1,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.221,67157.9%968 W · 703 L+70.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed GIANTX iTero7c1,361$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.232,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed GIANTX iTero10c1,122$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.0369841.8%292 W · 406 L+46.3wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+10.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ca0…38babacked GIANTX iTero11c997.98$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.381,44343.4%626 W · 817 L+105.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6c47…7a9fbacked GIANTX iTero8c891.22$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.8929940.1%120 W · 179 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8342…6dc8backed GIANTX iTero23c869.57$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20023454.7%128 W · 106 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked GIANTX iTero4c795.12$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4424832.3%80 W · 168 L-11.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked GIANTX iTero23c769$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.8254934.8%191 W · 358 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix77c719.31$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.441,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed GIANTX iTero22c648.05$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.572,22637.5%834 W · 1,392 L-29.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a9a…72e7backed ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix78c644.31$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.7523946%110 W · 129 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5809…9868backed GIANTX iTero23c600$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13897427.8%271 W · 703 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix76c550.67$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.161,50154.5%818 W · 683 L+34.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc27f…2a25backed GIANTX iTero13c534.1$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.496452.7%508 W · 456 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix77c511$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.531,48550.1%744 W · 741 L+67.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed GIANTX iTero12c355$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.61,22549.6%607 W · 618 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18b7…fff9backed GIANTX iTero6c333.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2055110.3%57 W · 494 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+55.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed GIANTX iTero19c261.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.682,20233.3%733 W · 1,469 L-72.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix78c200$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4489050.6%450 W · 440 L+14.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed GIANTX iTero22c189.77$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.7554529.7%162 W · 383 L-34.7wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa14c…23a1backed GIANTX iTero24c172$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2858850.5%297 W · 291 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x191f…f09ebacked GIANTX iTero23c152.17$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3542540.7%173 W · 252 L-17.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x515d…0340backed ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix79c87.5$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3734658.1%201 W · 145 L+17.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x68c9…aec3backed GIANTX iTero22c85$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.714732%47 W · 100 L-13.0wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-24.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix71c73.59$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.411,31049.2%644 W · 666 L-23.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked GIANTX iTero20c72.62$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5737343.4%162 W · 211 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab96…989fbacked GIANTX iTero22c69.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2924434.4%84 W · 160 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6f8…7fa1backed GIANTX iTero30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2077746.2%359 W · 418 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix74c45.01$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.511,04750.3%527 W · 520 L+37.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfeaa…d0aabacked ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix78c37.24$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2138164.3%245 W · 136 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix80c33.34$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.674856.3%27 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c33…e0dabacked GIANTX iTero32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105541.8%23 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+18.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix80c18.75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.759157.1%52 W · 39 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3238…6471backed ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix80c12.71$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.5413473.9%99 W · 35 L+13.8wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+17.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.