CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Fortress vs Endless Journey - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc3d55dcd81ecc06c763ad2c714abebb13ec61dd3e4e3d911959794e28cb43f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Endless Journeyof Fortress, Endless Journey
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,601
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,112
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,601 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Endless Journey | 71c | 2,750$1,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.99 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Fortress | 36c | 1,509$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.21 | 401 | 37.2%149 W · 252 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed Endless Journey | 59c | 1,172$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.35 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0698…b91dbacked Fortress | 30c | 633.33$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 156 | 37.2%58 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Fortress | 34c | 462$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.09 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba23…cd7ebacked Endless Journey | 62c | 405$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.9 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed Endless Journey | 61c | 350$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.5 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…4243backed Fortress | 31c | 349.5$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.35 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Fortress | 34c | 334$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.43 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Fortress | 36c | 272$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.99 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Fortress | 30c | 216.86$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.06 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Fortress | 36c | 213.15$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.02 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Fortress | 32c | 203.57$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.82 | 482 | 40%193 W · 289 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x788c…b217backed Endless Journey | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3685…6d99backed Fortress | 28c | 103$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Fortress | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.78 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…c7afbacked Fortress | 28c | 93.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Fortress | 38c | 76.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcef…fd7fbacked Fortress | 31c | 75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Endless Journey | 70c | 67.2$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Endless Journey | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Fortress | 22c | 59.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 600 | 32.3%194 W · 406 L | -49.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Endless Journey | 65c | 48.16$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Endless Journey | 77c | 45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Fortress | 34c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca2…1798backed Endless Journey | 72c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 152 | 77.6%118 W · 34 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 73cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Endless Journey | 64c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Endless Journey | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Fortress vs Endless Journey - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Fortress vs Endless Journey (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group CEndless Journey won
- Counter-Strike: Fortress vs Endless Journey - Map 1 WinnerEndless Journey won
- Map Handicap: EJ (-1.5) vs Fortress (+1.5)Endless Journey won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.