CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Fortress vs Endless Journey (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group C
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc00860f2e829417da77bb3b11b372f97958dc2996a314ae9a0d224f6cdee742
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Endless Journeyof Fortress, Endless Journey
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,637
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,211
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,637 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Endless Journey | 74c | 6,700$4,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,762.3 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Fortress | 19c | 931.33$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.29 | 3,415 | 29.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L | -275.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Fortress | 28c | 860.41$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.32 | 576 | 41.5%239 W · 337 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Fortress | 25c | 682$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.24 | 1,830 | 41.6%762 W · 1,068 L | -68.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Fortress | 26c | 488$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.53 | 2,119 | 42.9%909 W · 1,210 L | -66.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Fortress | 24c | 462.95$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.01 | 2,330 | 42.5%991 W · 1,339 L | -71.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Endless Journey | 69c | 438.94$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.73 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Fortress | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,314 | 44.3%582 W · 732 L | +47.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Fortress | 25c | 434$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.46 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6200…7d23backed Fortress | 28c | 427.14$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.6 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Fortress | 25c | 422.36$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.48 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Fortress | 25c | 420.12$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.92 | 2,491 | 41.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L | -114.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Fortress | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 746 | 33.4%249 W · 497 L | -48.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Fortress | 34c | 399.97$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.99 | 583 | 43.6%254 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Fortress | 12c | 359.71$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.16 | 2,608 | 30.9%807 W · 1,801 L | -103.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Fortress | 25c | 332$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.64 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…a5c9backed Fortress | 32c | 312.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.11 | 231 | 46.3%107 W · 124 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Fortress | 28c | 300.04$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.01 | 480 | 40%192 W · 288 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Fortress | 27c | 280$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 2,520 | 43%1,084 W · 1,436 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Endless Journey | 72c | 270.83$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.83 | 1,605 | 52.6%845 W · 760 L | +57.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Fortress | 26c | 263$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.49 | 401 | 37.2%149 W · 252 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0284…97f6backed Endless Journey | 70c | 260.03$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.92 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8c…3bcdbacked Fortress | 27c | 260$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 351 | 31.1%109 W · 242 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…88f9backed Endless Journey | 67c | 252.42$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.26 | 463 | 54%250 W · 213 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Fortress | 25c | 211.31$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.71 | 873 | 30.9%270 W · 603 L | -62.0wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Fortress | 28c | 161.48$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.76 | 2,467 | 24.6%606 W · 1,861 L | -318.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x91d5…8a03backed Endless Journey | 75c | 133.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.58 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Endless Journey | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 227 | 51.5%117 W · 110 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Fortress | 23c | 132.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 2,454 | 34.4%845 W · 1,609 L | -189.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Fortress | 25c | 110.94$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 4,040 | 50.9%2,057 W · 1,983 L | +71.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…4e6abacked Endless Journey | 66c | 103.41$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.16 | 265 | 54.3%144 W · 121 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e11…d36ebacked Fortress | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 40cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4a…c078backed Endless Journey | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 122 | 71.3%87 W · 35 L | +18.5wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3208…07a7backed Fortress | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee22…7054backed Fortress | 28c | 97.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Endless Journey | 74c | 75.47$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.77 | 2,084 | 47%979 W · 1,105 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Fortress | 30c | 74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 321 | 39.9%128 W · 193 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37d…c735backed Endless Journey | 73c | 69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +9.5wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +172.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…dcd0backed Fortress | 28c | 56.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Endless Journey | 72c | 55.95$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Fortress | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 256 | 43.4%111 W · 145 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Endless Journey | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 1,069 | 37.8%404 W · 665 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e46…8c1cbacked Fortress | 28c | 41.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 236 | 54.7%129 W · 107 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32eb…f531backed Endless Journey | 66c | 29.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Endless Journey | 73c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 187 | 53.5%100 W · 87 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5d…8e0fbacked Endless Journey | 72c | 20.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Endless Journey | 73c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b86…5552backed Endless Journey | 74c | 16.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 163 | 63.2%103 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Endless Journey | 73c | 16.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Endless Journey | 70c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 1,318 | 51.7%682 W · 636 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Fortress vs Endless Journey (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group Cthis page
- Counter-Strike: Fortress vs Endless Journey - Map 1 WinnerEndless Journey won
- Counter-Strike: Fortress vs Endless Journey - Map 2 WinnerEndless Journey won
- Map Handicap: EJ (-1.5) vs Fortress (+1.5)Endless Journey won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.