CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: EJ (-1.5) vs Fortress (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4cc049667e0db80b9ef5850b8d66a0905721977be8db2cffd0a76319a3728251
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Endless Journeyof Endless Journey, Fortress
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,870
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,265
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,870 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Endless Journey | 54c | 6,049$3,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,782.16 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Fortress | 44c | 1,576$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.18 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Fortress | 46c | 999.96$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.98 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Fortress | 44c | 409.15$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.56 | 293 | 40.6%119 W · 174 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Fortress | 44c | 404.52$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.22 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed Fortress | 50c | 395.93$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.47 | 248 | 40.7%101 W · 147 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…4e6abacked Endless Journey | 47c | 390.58$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.3 | 265 | 54.3%144 W · 121 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Fortress | 45c | 330$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.03 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Fortress | 53c | 327.46$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.18 | 341 | 40.8%139 W · 202 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb9…8d05backed Endless Journey | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd2…0abfbacked Fortress | 50c | 299.72$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Fortress | 46c | 264.11$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 442 | 44.1%195 W · 247 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa14b…4ff2backed Fortress | 51c | 263.3$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.08 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed Endless Journey | 50c | 262.92$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.6 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe04…1481backed Fortress | 52c | 228.63$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed Fortress | 47c | 178.02$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.67 | 312 | 41.3%129 W · 183 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29ee…32a0backed Fortress | 48c | 172.1$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4a…c078backed Endless Journey | 48c | 153.11$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.91 | 122 | 71.3%87 W · 35 L | +18.5wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed Fortress | 48c | 151.79$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.86 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0698…b91dbacked Fortress | 48c | 144.79$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.5 | 156 | 37.2%58 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed Fortress | 48c | 130$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 138 | 40.6%56 W · 82 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Fortress | 50c | 123.46$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.73 | 408 | 57.1%233 W · 175 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3d…51b8backed Fortress | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Fortress | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Fortress | 48c | 103.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 545 | 43.5%237 W · 308 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Endless Journey | 57c | 90$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Fortress | 46c | 89.13$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 309 | 39.2%121 W · 188 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Fortress | 46c | 89.13$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 306 | 38.9%119 W · 187 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Endless Journey | 50c | 86.79$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.11 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Fortress | 46c | 71.74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 220 | 37.3%82 W · 138 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Fortress | 50c | 56.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 422 | 55.7%235 W · 187 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Fortress | 50c | 56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 368 | 56.8%209 W · 159 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Fortress | 51c | 40.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Fortress | 47c | 40.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac06…f93dbacked Fortress | 50c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Endless Journey | 49c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e11…d36ebacked Fortress | 45c | 32.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 40cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…6e9bbacked Fortress | 44c | 31.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Fortress | 44c | 31.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Endless Journey | 50c | 28.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 198 | 51.5%102 W · 96 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Fortress | 49c | 25.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 163 | 61.3%100 W · 63 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Fortress | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: EJ (-1.5) vs Fortress (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Fortress vs Endless Journey (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group CEndless Journey won
- Counter-Strike: Fortress vs Endless Journey - Map 1 WinnerEndless Journey won
- Counter-Strike: Fortress vs Endless Journey - Map 2 WinnerEndless Journey won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.