CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs MARKandLARRY (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Playoffs

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x149b8f712870aeb7f93dd85cf72949a804f72209dcb5daf10f25255df466a503

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Ground Zeroof Ground Zero, MARKandLARRY
Resolved: Jun 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $37,523
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $37,862

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,523 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1529…a7babacked MARKandLARRY	8c	2,457$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.71	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefa3…7585backed MARKandLARRY	11c	2,075$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229.31	773	51.2%396 W · 377 L	+24.2wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8add…fae8backed MARKandLARRY	10c	1,680$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.67	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.2wins	+0.30per pick	45cpaid	+37%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ff4…d731backed MARKandLARRY	10c	1,496$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.91	198	40.9%81 W · 117 L	-5.8wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked MARKandLARRY	25c	1,249$311 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310.92	7,925	50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L	+179.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa573…3987backed MARKandLARRY	8c	1,242$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.34	47	38.3%18 W · 29 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ecb…52a5backed MARKandLARRY	9c	1,167$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.26	42	57.1%24 W · 18 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1032…4243backed MARKandLARRY	11c	1,099$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.58	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	-2.1wins	-0.09per pick	41cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed Ground Zero	75c	1,000$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250	294	49.3%145 W · 149 L	-10.3wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5690…7a58backed MARKandLARRY	7c	853.5$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.35	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	17cpaid	-73.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed MARKandLARRY	8c	805$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.45	576	41.5%239 W · 337 L	-8.3wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4d4…9c83backed MARKandLARRY	10c	799.98$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.2	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	24cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed MARKandLARRY	10c	799.98$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	2,522	43%1,085 W · 1,437 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa487…9439backed MARKandLARRY	8c	791.63$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.33	153	49.7%76 W · 77 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed MARKandLARRY	9c	785.96$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.42	387	39.5%153 W · 234 L	-15.3wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed MARKandLARRY	7c	780.05$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.6	1,411	33.7%475 W · 936 L	+42.1wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd02a…4771backed MARKandLARRY	12c	744.39$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	192	45.8%88 W · 104 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc754…4b1dbacked MARKandLARRY	8c	728.82$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.28	341	40.8%139 W · 202 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed MARKandLARRY	24c	715.72$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171	4,064	50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L	+69.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f46…9097backed MARKandLARRY	8c	693.09$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.19	102	49%50 W · 52 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcef…fd7fbacked MARKandLARRY	9c	563.99$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.67	128	46.1%59 W · 69 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x189d…5561backed MARKandLARRY	13c	558.01$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	-2.5wins	-0.11per pick	43cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed MARKandLARRY	9c	453.54$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.69	215	45.6%98 W · 117 L	+8.7wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked MARKandLARRY	11c	445.31$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.96	635	41.9%266 W · 369 L	+10.2wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec8c…3bcdbacked MARKandLARRY	8c	373.99$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.92	351	31.1%109 W · 242 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x623d…3aeebacked MARKandLARRY	9c	366.67$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	101	37.6%38 W · 63 L	-6.4wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed MARKandLARRY	26c	339.35$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.83	2,508	41%1,029 W · 1,479 L	-115.5wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed MARKandLARRY	14c	332.7$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.94	664	36.6%243 W · 421 L	-35.9wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed MARKandLARRY	8c	322.57$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.81	358	39.4%141 W · 217 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked MARKandLARRY	8c	300$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	919	45.8%421 W · 498 L	-10.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6200…7d23backed MARKandLARRY	9c	288.2$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.68	160	36.3%58 W · 102 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x206c…2b8dbacked MARKandLARRY	12c	288$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.56	67	44.8%30 W · 37 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27db…3824backed MARKandLARRY	7c	275$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.25	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-43.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b26…6091backed MARKandLARRY	7c	270.15$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.91	37	32.4%12 W · 25 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-36%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed MARKandLARRY	14c	252.86$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.4	482	40%193 W · 289 L	+8.7wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0241…fd36backed MARKandLARRY	7c	249.99$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.5	401	55.1%221 W · 180 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8120…a9f1backed MARKandLARRY	7c	236.98$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.59	81	51.9%42 W · 39 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6af0…fea7backed MARKandLARRY	7c	228.57$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed MARKandLARRY	31c	213.1$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.34	890	46.1%410 W · 480 L	-20.7wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed MARKandLARRY	18c	211.35$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.7	5,287	31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L	-383.3wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x88b0…f8d8backed MARKandLARRY	8c	200$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	217	44.7%97 W · 120 L	+8.5wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed MARKandLARRY	7c	186.18$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.87	160	23.8%38 W · 122 L	-5.3wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed MARKandLARRY	8c	184.9$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.87	2,468	24.6%607 W · 1,861 L	-317.8wins	-0.13per pick	37cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Ground Zero	72c	175.61$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.86	4,933	37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L	-249.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xac5a…1ac8backed MARKandLARRY	9c	175.28$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.93	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked MARKandLARRY	8c	168.75$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	545	43.5%237 W · 308 L	-8.3wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b0c…d43abacked MARKandLARRY	8c	168.6$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.49	464	47.6%221 W · 243 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e46…8c1cbacked MARKandLARRY	10c	158.99$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.9	236	54.7%129 W · 107 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked MARKandLARRY	18c	148.77$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.27	2,473	34.6%855 W · 1,618 L	-188.5wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc987…123abacked MARKandLARRY	11c	146.74$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.67	74	43.2%32 W · 42 L	-3.7wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6e3…8cb6backed MARKandLARRY	13c	138.91$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.15	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked MARKandLARRY	16c	130$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.8	3,202	45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L	-79.3wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked MARKandLARRY	28c	120.47$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.27	2,776	37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L	-140.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked MARKandLARRY	17c	117.52$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.5	3,459	29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L	-279.9wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3ee4…ed67backed MARKandLARRY	11c	100.55$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.19	193	40.4%78 W · 115 L	-10.1wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed MARKandLARRY	13c	77.84$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.12	132	46.2%61 W · 71 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked MARKandLARRY	21c	76.62$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.71	1,078	32%345 W · 733 L	-7.5wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x969f…cbdcbacked Ground Zero	70c	70.7$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.86	627	38.8%243 W · 384 L	-31.2wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-30%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcbbd…27bfbacked MARKandLARRY	18c	64.67$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.7	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee54…e5febacked MARKandLARRY	37c	52.51$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.43	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Ground Zero	77c	30$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.9	1,274	71.5%911 W · 363 L	+3.3wins	0.00per pick	71cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Ground Zero	67c	19.13$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.31	3,910	36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L	-197.6wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs MARKandLARRY (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Playoffsthis page
Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs MARKandLARRY - Map 1 WinnerGround Zero won
Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs MARKandLARRY - Map 2 WinnerGround Zero won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Map Handicap: GZ (-1.5) vs MARKandLARRY (+1.5)Ground Zero won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs MARKandLARRY (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Playoffs

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event