CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: FX (-1.5) vs paiN Academy (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa03cf99c544f60f7adfc1a6e724178b5c922455a236570b1c0da16b08ccb8277
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- paiN Academyof Fluxo, paiN Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,764
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,683
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,764 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Fluxo | 71c | 5,484$3,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,894.4 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Fluxo | 71c | 2,431$1,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,726.07 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed paiN Academy | 28c | 1,477$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.44 | 220 | 45.5%100 W · 120 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…0519backed paiN Academy | 29c | 1,223$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.98 | 388 | 35.6%138 W · 250 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Fluxo | 72c | 1,117$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.34 | 2,030 | 53.7%1,091 W · 939 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…df49backed paiN Academy | 29c | 1,030$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.3 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked paiN Academy | 28c | 896.87$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.75 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed paiN Academy | 30c | 834.6$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.22 | 1,041 | 53.1%553 W · 488 L | +63.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Fluxo | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 610 | 55.9%341 W · 269 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Fluxo | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 476 | 55%262 W · 214 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd2…0abfbacked paiN Academy | 29c | 679.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.86 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…4243backed paiN Academy | 29c | 679.69$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.58 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed paiN Academy | 29c | 500$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5b…6c2abacked paiN Academy | 29c | 441$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.11 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +4.7wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed paiN Academy | 29c | 352.21$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.97 | 338 | 44.4%150 W · 188 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed paiN Academy | 28c | 300$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 1,007 | 48.5%488 W · 519 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed paiN Academy | 30c | 259.43$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.6 | 647 | 48.4%313 W · 334 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed Fluxo | 23c | 230.47$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.52 | 77 | 26%20 W · 57 L | -8.1wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e20…e3c8backed Fluxo | 63c | 220.13$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.53 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d72…a791backed paiN Academy | 29c | 172.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.42 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…2152backed paiN Academy | 31c | 168.6$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.33 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x524f…2642backed paiN Academy | 29c | 167.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.27 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39e4…f089backed paiN Academy | 29c | 164$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.44 | 321 | 38.3%123 W · 198 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed paiN Academy | 28c | 163.96$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.05 | 1,423 | 33.6%478 W · 945 L | +41.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed paiN Academy | 28c | 161$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.92 | 172 | 39.5%68 W · 104 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed paiN Academy | 37c | 158.98$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.17 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked paiN Academy | 28c | 150$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8494…814abacked Fluxo | 69c | 142.01$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.99 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked paiN Academy | 36c | 108$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.12 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +28.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76ff…425fbacked paiN Academy | 29c | 106.9$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.9 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed paiN Academy | 31c | 96.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.88 | 541 | 48.6%263 W · 278 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed paiN Academy | 30c | 80.82$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.57 | 199 | 40.7%81 W · 118 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f4…7763backed Fluxo | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 69cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…2d03backed paiN Academy | 29c | 66.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.29 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed paiN Academy | 28c | 55.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.96 | 392 | 45.9%180 W · 212 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed paiN Academy | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 687 | 49.6%341 W · 346 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed paiN Academy | 65c | 45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 700 | 60.1%421 W · 279 L | +70.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked Fluxo | 73c | 41.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.41 | 191 | 51.8%99 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fdb…0d6fbacked paiN Academy | 27c | 41.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.41 | 116 | 39.7%46 W · 70 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c62…ca89backed Fluxo | 72c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b4…6815backed Fluxo | 70c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 240 | 65.4%157 W · 83 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: FX (-1.5) vs paiN Academy (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs paiN Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 PlayoffsFluxo won
- Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs paiN Academy - Map 1 WinnerpaiN Academy won
- Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs paiN Academy - Map 2 WinnerFluxo won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.