CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32e36ba19b60311dfc6b590089d4dde1b8795b9aa8ea58733dd2499133a7e780
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,137
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,234
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,137 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 75c | 2,802$2,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,090.8 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Over | 25c | 1,929$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.4 | 253 | 44.3%112 W · 141 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Over | 25c | 1,243$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.25 | 219 | 45.7%100 W · 119 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedc3…f923backed Over | 25c | 1,142$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.47 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 75c | 1,074$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.7 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 74c | 970.05$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.67 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 74c | 675.68$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.65 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Under | 75c | 673.03$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.61 | 465 | 55.1%256 W · 209 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed Over | 26c | 628.52$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.1 | 198 | 40.9%81 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed Over | 26c | 378.09$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.97 | 390 | 38.5%150 W · 240 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…8cafbacked Over | 30c | 324.86$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.84 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 32c | 150.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.58 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 68c | 135.08$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.61 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed Over | 25c | 127.87$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 248 | 40.7%101 W · 147 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3556…3fb4backed Over | 26c | 103.17$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.35 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 27c | 99.4$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.56 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…2d03backed Over | 26c | 98.7$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.04 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50a0…18ffbacked Over | 26c | 90$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.6 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27f4…7763backed Under | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 69cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d72…a791backed Over | 26c | 49.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.29 | 167 | 54.5%91 W · 76 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Under | 73c | 41.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked Under | 76c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 191 | 51.8%99 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Under | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b4…6815backed Under | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Under | 69c | 14.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs paiN Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 PlayoffsFluxo won
- Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs paiN Academy - Map 1 WinnerpaiN Academy won
- Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs paiN Academy - Map 2 WinnerFluxo won
- Map Handicap: FX (-1.5) vs paiN Academy (+1.5)paiN Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.