CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Entropy vs Misa Esports (BO3) - United21 Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6cffb36f333311a4ed97f184cfdc65142fa54cd6ff3c5362d2887b7ac892194
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Misa Esportsof Entropy, Misa Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,003
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,845
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,003 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8dae…125cbacked Entropy | 22c | 499.98$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.67 | 85 | 42.4%36 W · 49 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Entropy | 38c | 441.95$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.7 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc322…e3dbbacked Entropy | 4c | 431.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Entropy | 15c | 411.04$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.66 | 883 | 30.7%271 W · 612 L | -63.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d99…9c27backed Entropy | 39c | 356.48$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.44 | 144 | 39.6%57 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Misa Esports | 70c | 322.28$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.95 | 758 | 33.4%253 W · 505 L | -48.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Entropy | 37c | 320.59$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Misa Esports | 64c | 314.98$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.39 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Misa Esports | 71c | 286.45$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.79 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Entropy | 31c | 228.45$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.04 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2814…46a2backed Entropy | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Misa Esports | 79c | 211.99$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.89 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Misa Esports | 75c | 193.68$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.23 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…4243backed Misa Esports | 58c | 181.62$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.28 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Misa Esports | 70c | 172.38$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.45 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Misa Esports | 76c | 156.02$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Entropy | 19c | 153.9$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Misa Esports | 78c | 142.04$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.33 | 359 | 47.9%172 W · 187 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Entropy | 21c | 136.08$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab1…638bbacked Misa Esports | 79c | 135.56$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…1e59backed Misa Esports | 59c | 134.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.35 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +6.0wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked Misa Esports | 61c | 127$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.73 | 512 | 52.1%267 W · 245 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed1…908cbacked Entropy | 37c | 126$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.62 | 206 | 37.9%78 W · 128 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x180a…bd66backed Misa Esports | 65c | 114.65$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.65 | 163 | 55.2%90 W · 73 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Entropy | 12c | 111.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Misa Esports | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 380 | 32.1%122 W · 258 L | -18.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd668…bf2dbacked Entropy | 39c | 82$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.24 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Entropy | 32c | 80.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.32 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd22a…2a00backed Misa Esports | 73c | 78.74$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0890…c657backed Entropy | 25c | 75.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…5d9fbacked Misa Esports | 50c | 75.04$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.52 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Misa Esports | 68c | 75$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.75 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Misa Esports | 73c | 71$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.28 | 321 | 39.9%128 W · 193 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Entropy | 30c | 58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 664 | 46.4%308 W · 356 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Entropy | 24c | 56.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Misa Esports | 74c | 52.94$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6053…923dbacked Entropy | 38c | 44.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Misa Esports | 67c | 43.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 457 | 48.1%220 W · 237 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9051…32d2backed Misa Esports | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 308 | 59.1%182 W · 126 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…645cbacked Misa Esports | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 80 | 31.3%25 W · 55 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e3…85f0backed Misa Esports | 63c | 35.55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Misa Esports | 75c | 30.49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Misa Esports | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Misa Esports | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Misa Esports | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 271 | 56.8%154 W · 117 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Misa Esports | 77c | 26.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe77…8fe4backed Misa Esports | 64c | 25.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Misa Esports | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8256…3e45backed Misa Esports | 74c | 20.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd8…0c9abacked Misa Esports | 55c | 18.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab5…35d8backed Misa Esports | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Entropy vs Misa Esports (BO3) - United21 Group Athis page
- Counter-Strike: Entropy vs Misa Esports - Map 2 WinnerMisa Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.