TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Wildcard (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
TheMongolzof TheMongolz, Wildcard
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$124,216
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$127,066

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,216 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Wildcard64c25,537$16,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,258.765,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0993…525fbacked Wildcard58c10,019$5,826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,826.336454.7%35 W · 29 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+32.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked TheMongolz38c10,008$3,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,239.536243.5%27 W · 35 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae2b…9cc3backed TheMongolz39c10,000$3,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,149.9821854.1%118 W · 100 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Wildcard64c9,681$6,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,160.52,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed TheMongolz36c8,986$3,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,715.423732.9%78 W · 159 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked TheMongolz38c7,000$2,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,339.991,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed Wildcard64c7,000$4,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,479.9929449.3%145 W · 149 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Wildcard64c5,386$3,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,434.9627753.8%149 W · 128 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Wildcard61c5,000$3,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,05071645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x559b…4959backed Wildcard60c4,984$2,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,990.472040%8 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ff5…6afbbacked TheMongolz40c4,877$1,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,938.643125.8%8 W · 23 L-5.1wins-0.16per pick42cpaid-45.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed TheMongolz36c4,842$1,721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,120.817643.2%76 W · 100 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Wildcard62c4,715$2,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,903.378639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfca7…5e0abacked TheMongolz36c4,595$1,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,960.281060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+29.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x79ae…9a4abacked TheMongolz38c4,107$1,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,546.3414145.4%64 W · 77 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbe8…bb28backed TheMongolz36c3,532$1,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,269.9822044.5%98 W · 122 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed TheMongolz36c3,370$1,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,156.7925248.8%123 W · 129 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7029…1136backed TheMongolz35c3,155$1,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,050.521351.2%109 W · 104 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ff3…9b05backed Wildcard65c3,094$2,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,009.753455.9%19 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6da3…95a0backed Wildcard63c2,858$1,812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,812.243145.2%14 W · 17 L-4.7wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-27.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x732f…f245backed TheMongolz41c2,565$1,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,513.342240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-28.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Wildcard60c2,513$1,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,508.136453.8%196 W · 168 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked TheMongolz34c2,511$854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,657.1847147.3%223 W · 248 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83c4…3212backed Wildcard63c2,320$1,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.3531761.2%194 W · 123 L+22.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe27b…ec9fbacked TheMongolz34c2,282$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,506.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked TheMongolz37c2,095$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.6826045%117 W · 143 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9166…b479backed TheMongolz40c2,091$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,25110749.5%53 W · 54 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Wildcard60c2,000$1,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,204.991,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked TheMongolz36c1,847$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,185.261,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed TheMongolz37c1,758$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,107.8232844.8%147 W · 181 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed TheMongolz43c1,574$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$897.4838739.5%153 W · 234 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x94cb…64e3backed TheMongolz35c1,500$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97515838%60 W · 98 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9a4…8427backed TheMongolz36c1,481$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.566848.5%33 W · 35 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Wildcard65c1,231$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8002,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked TheMongolz38c1,100$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.4924746.6%115 W · 132 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed TheMongolz36c1,098$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.9455236.2%200 W · 352 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cea…03d4backed TheMongolz35c1,007$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.874330.2%13 W · 30 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-28.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Wildcard63c1,000$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6301,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed TheMongolz35c1,000$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6501,03839.9%414 W · 624 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdd2…0abfbacked TheMongolz40c996.51$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.517843.6%34 W · 44 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed TheMongolz43c940.64$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.561,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked TheMongolz40c888$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.81,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xba43…c6c0backed Wildcard65c872.59$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.213745.9%17 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+24.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Wildcard62c819.67$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.259755.4%331 W · 266 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2764…ec08backed TheMongolz40c750$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4501637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed TheMongolz39c733.62$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.5148240%193 W · 289 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed TheMongolz35c708.11$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.115,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3449…4030backed TheMongolz36c630.59$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.7913738.7%53 W · 84 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb11…7901backed TheMongolz34c500$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3303053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+27.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bfb…8beabacked TheMongolz41c500$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2954654.3%25 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked TheMongolz38c500$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31039548.6%192 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dc2…a9ebbacked TheMongolz38c480$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.66258.1%36 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3e0…708fbacked TheMongolz35c457.14$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.143956.4%22 W · 17 L+5.2wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+22.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Wildcard63c423.89$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.9999148.3%479 W · 512 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed TheMongolz34c399.99$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.9955941%229 W · 330 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3995…47edbacked TheMongolz38c395$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.95642.9%24 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x374e…87c9backed TheMongolz36c347.22$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.225151%26 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked TheMongolz36c330$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.248845.7%223 W · 265 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf95e…1816backed TheMongolz37c318.06$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.066352.4%33 W · 30 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5ecf…af11backed Wildcard35c287.22$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.598442.9%36 W · 48 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Wildcard63c271$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.7374054.6%404 W · 336 L+15.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe040…fc3abacked TheMongolz35c265.54$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.61127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed TheMongolz35c260$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16983543.6%364 W · 471 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed TheMongolz58c250$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1051,14643.5%499 W · 647 L-17.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked TheMongolz39c250$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.51,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf490…63afbacked TheMongolz40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1507536%27 W · 48 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8818…f8acbacked Wildcard65c235.86$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.5216660.8%101 W · 65 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Wildcard65c231.31$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15021263.7%135 W · 77 L-0.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed TheMongolz35c231.01$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.2785446.4%396 W · 458 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe34a…b6c1backed TheMongolz39c230.77$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.77450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Wildcard61c229.86$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.392,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefe8…1edbbacked Wildcard63c224.85$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.4910151.5%52 W · 49 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x021a…d3aebacked TheMongolz36c201.17$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.7525042.4%106 W · 144 L+0.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d91…3578backed Wildcard59c188.14$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1118951.7%46 W · 43 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb438…a67cbacked TheMongolz76c179.7$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.962142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x14b0…a142backed TheMongolz40c177$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.25244.2%23 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Wildcard22c171.96$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.342850%14 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9714…5152backed TheMongolz37c162$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.068554.1%46 W · 39 L+11.6wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+40.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2c60…01febacked Wildcard60c158.57$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.819151.8%99 W · 92 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed1c…494dbacked TheMongolz40c141.58$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.95425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-37.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed TheMongolz63c141.19$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.2435054.6%191 W · 159 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a56…be30backed Wildcard66c138.96$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.7120651.9%107 W · 99 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe84a…02febacked TheMongolz34c131.37$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.75056%28 W · 22 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked TheMongolz35c119.23$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.548948.9%239 W · 250 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5059…6d95backed Wildcard63c115.94$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.474566.7%30 W · 15 L+5.2wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+28.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Wildcard64c111.11$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.111637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Wildcard65c110.92$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.121949.8%109 W · 110 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked TheMongolz36c102.78$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.7854543.5%237 W · 308 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x69fa…e259backed Wildcard62c102.69$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.860954%329 W · 280 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Wildcard64c100$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.7167750.2%340 W · 337 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c2f…9765backed TheMongolz35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656960.9%42 W · 27 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf98b…57bbbacked TheMongolz55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4538157.7%220 W · 161 L-1.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Wildcard45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Wildcard66c100$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6636057.5%207 W · 153 L+13.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2bf…3e90backed Wildcard67c97.98$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666946.4%32 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Wildcard44c90.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030939.2%121 W · 188 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed TheMongolz39c90$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.1120755.1%114 W · 93 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf8c8…7c4cbacked Wildcard65c90$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3232447.2%153 W · 171 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8847…fc98backed TheMongolz39c87.67$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.5324840.7%101 W · 147 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.