Dota2 · resolved market
Game Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c33493b6b2f5df7f67f310690d1ef220b43bca5669baf55858885e654938b45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BetBoom Teamof BetBoom Team, LGD Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,050
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,745
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,050 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed LGD Gaming | 64c | 1,402$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.2 | 226 | 63.3%143 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed BetBoom Team | 37c | 1,081$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.08 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked LGD Gaming | 63c | 956.8$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.52 | 270 | 60%162 W · 108 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…954ebacked BetBoom Team | 37c | 878.83$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.83 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed BetBoom Team | 36c | 792.14$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.97 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d2…2fe1backed LGD Gaming | 64c | 784.33$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.97 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf876…1deebacked BetBoom Team | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.43 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked LGD Gaming | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 210 | 45.7%96 W · 114 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed LGD Gaming | 64c | 428.19$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.67 | 139 | 41.7%58 W · 81 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed BetBoom Team | 36c | 408.37$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.36 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf206…df39backed LGD Gaming | 64c | 359.38$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 169 | 63.3%107 W · 62 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked LGD Gaming | 63c | 354$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.84 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed BetBoom Team | 36c | 300$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 83 | 28.9%24 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d35…b406backed BetBoom Team | 36c | 296.16$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.54 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed BetBoom Team | 39c | 272.8$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.41 | 473 | 48.2%228 W · 245 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed BetBoom Team | 38c | 256.95$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.3 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed BetBoom Team | 37c | 230.85$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.43 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6efa…a0a7backed BetBoom Team | 35c | 175$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.75 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked BetBoom Team | 33c | 164.54$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.24 | 117 | 33.3%39 W · 78 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed BetBoom Team | 38c | 159.84$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.1 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaae…ec88backed LGD Gaming | 66c | 151.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e71…a8bdbacked LGD Gaming | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x891a…f778backed BetBoom Team | 34c | 136$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.76 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda24…737abacked LGD Gaming | 63c | 135.35$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.27 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed BetBoom Team | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked LGD Gaming | 64c | 99.36$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.06 | 325 | 48.9%159 W · 166 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedfa…fd66backed LGD Gaming | 63c | 94.82$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.74 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…4212backed LGD Gaming | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b7…fd5ebacked LGD Gaming | 64c | 76.23$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed LGD Gaming | 33c | 76.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc670…b781backed BetBoom Team | 36c | 76.13$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.72 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked LGD Gaming | 62c | 71.51$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.34 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5149…3336backed BetBoom Team | 36c | 64.61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.35 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed LGD Gaming | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 250 | 47.6%119 W · 131 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked BetBoom Team | 35c | 41.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.02 | 267 | 41.9%112 W · 155 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e8…e69cbacked BetBoom Team | 38c | 36.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed BetBoom Team | 37c | 32.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 252 | 66.3%167 W · 85 L | +20.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed LGD Gaming | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 144 | 66%95 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed LGD Gaming | 64c | 30.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9bb…cad6backed BetBoom Team | 37c | 30.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed BetBoom Team | 38c | 30.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ee…878ebacked LGD Gaming | 64c | 28.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked LGD Gaming | 64c | 27.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 1,151 | 47.8%550 W · 601 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked LGD Gaming | 63c | 15.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -8.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4548…e4b5backed LGD Gaming | 63c | 15.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)this page
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup SurvivalBetBoom Team won
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 WinnerBetBoom Team won
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerBetBoom Team won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.