TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Nemiga (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nemigaof G2, Nemiga
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$104,103
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$105,939

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,103 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd30…f316backed Nemiga42c23,500$9,795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,705.4212249.2%60 W · 62 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c52…1a59backed G260c16,703$10,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,021.839450%47 W · 47 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Nemiga41c16,548$6,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,742.0425255.6%140 W · 112 L+18.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Nemiga40c10,330$4,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,148.485,02855%2,763 W · 2,265 L+112.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked G260c8,343$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00022354.7%122 W · 101 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed G259c7,777$4,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,566.1867041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Nemiga40c5,234$2,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,140.222,61051.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L+16.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked G259c5,000$2,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,95075758.3%441 W · 316 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed G259c5,000$2,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,959.3850054.4%272 W · 228 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed G260c5,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00033359.8%199 W · 134 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba43…c6c0backed Nemiga41c4,878$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,878.043745.9%17 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+24.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30c1…9f91backed G256c4,434$2,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,483.142944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed G258c4,000$2,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,32026952.8%142 W · 127 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed Nemiga39c3,000$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,829.9437946.4%176 W · 203 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed G261c2,897$1,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,757.4217643.2%76 W · 100 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed G242c2,267$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.1329449.3%145 W · 149 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Nemiga40c2,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20078639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2095…873ebacked G259c1,870$1,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,103.35534.5%19 W · 36 L-6.2wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-22.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Nemiga56c1,643$917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.6797952.4%513 W · 466 L+26.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce3f…3543backed G261c1,397$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852.22853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked G258c1,223$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.5736152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked G221c1,159$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.8516142.9%69 W · 92 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfbe…dc24backed Nemiga50c1,114$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.063540%14 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed G260c1,101$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.3761047.7%291 W · 319 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Nemiga39c1,095$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.531,47651.8%765 W · 711 L-4.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Nemiga40c1,003$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.0459055.3%326 W · 264 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Nemiga40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6001,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ae4…9b43backed G250c999.99$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003537.1%13 W · 22 L-5.4wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-40.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Nemiga41c975.61$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.611,99853.7%1,073 W · 925 L+5.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Nemiga38c952.8$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.31,08050.9%550 W · 530 L+38.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x31c1…bc19backed G259c847.38$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015862.7%99 W · 59 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1eb5…6fe9backed G259c832.83$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.3710061%61 W · 39 L+10.9wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+27.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked G259c667.91$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.4744747.2%211 W · 236 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed G259c651$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.5911849.2%58 W · 60 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa5e…1468backed G259c647.73$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.168540%34 W · 51 L-8.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf9a4…8427backed G262c630.98$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3896848.5%33 W · 35 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Nemiga41c608.48$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35920440.7%83 W · 121 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Nemiga39c606.84$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.1875452.7%397 W · 357 L+27.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked G260c600$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36035242.9%151 W · 201 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd94a…fe08backed G261c573.77$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick62cpaid-58.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2b17…d36dbacked G262c532.26$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3305731.6%18 W · 39 L-8.5wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-36.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Nemiga38c516.25$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.078353%44 W · 39 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked G258c508.76$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.0837759.7%225 W · 152 L+1.9wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xeb4b…9f92backed G260c500.99$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.5910863.9%69 W · 39 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd0fb…8092backed G258c500$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29013245.5%60 W · 72 L-8.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Nemiga39c500$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30532345.2%146 W · 177 L+12.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed Nemiga41c487.8$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.819055.8%106 W · 84 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83c4…3212backed Nemiga42c476.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.1931261.2%191 W · 121 L+21.8wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa949…7f5bbacked Nemiga44c455.68$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.6822243.7%97 W · 125 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f4e…b690backed G262c450$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2799058.9%53 W · 37 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f4a…afd7backed G260c449.47$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.6822740.5%92 W · 135 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Nemiga58c425.59$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.759349.5%46 W · 47 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+26.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5088…cfc5backed G259c403.39$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2382536%9 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc7d…8895backed G263c396.42$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25022460.7%136 W · 88 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed G259c362.6$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.7220755.1%114 W · 93 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9674…1302backed G259c339$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.018548.2%41 W · 44 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x82a1…e38bbacked G231c311.58$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.598441.7%35 W · 49 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Nemiga58c306.88$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.891,31444.3%582 W · 732 L+47.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed Nemiga40c300$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18055441.2%228 W · 326 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed G259c300$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.7598248.3%474 W · 508 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed G253c289.99$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.368453.8%368 W · 316 L-22.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9f5…0688backed G258c258$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.6412551.2%64 W · 61 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d61…eb8ebacked G248c250$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.581246.2%375 W · 437 L-35.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Nemiga41c250$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.555236.2%200 W · 352 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde24…2b2fbacked Nemiga71c243.93$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.757537.3%28 W · 47 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x787b…f0a6backed Nemiga41c237.02$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.84540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8192…e1b9backed G248c210$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.88933.7%30 W · 59 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-13%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d40…ec52backed G262c200$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12438954.5%212 W · 177 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37bd…ed2abacked Nemiga41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1186344.4%28 W · 35 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3135…f6c3backed Nemiga52c186.88$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.4912748%61 W · 66 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed G259c169$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7121147.9%101 W · 110 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9714…5152backed Nemiga77c167$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.418454.8%46 W · 38 L+12.0wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+42.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Nemiga40c166.99$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.1973854.5%402 W · 336 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f1…5b7fbacked G260c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-25.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked G261c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10048242.1%203 W · 279 L-13.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf98b…57bbbacked G261c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038157.7%220 W · 161 L-1.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed G228c152.68$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.751,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfd1…cd25backed Nemiga40c150$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904355.8%24 W · 19 L+4.8wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+22.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed G260c149.09$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.684452.3%23 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x12d3…42e4backed G261c147.54$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903237.5%12 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked G233c142.02$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9510947.7%52 W · 57 L+9.4wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked Nemiga41c130$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.733459%197 W · 137 L+24.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Nemiga34c125.45$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.81,82847.6%871 W · 957 L-54.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked G241c125.44$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.952,59947.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L-30.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4bb…22a9backed Nemiga41c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.9527647.1%130 W · 146 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xac68…f1fcbacked G260c120$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7216156.5%91 W · 70 L+0.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda10…ffeabacked G250c119.91$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609552.6%50 W · 45 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa03e…727abacked G259c118.34$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.75749.1%28 W · 29 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x69fa…e259backed Nemiga49c114.51$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.1260753.9%327 W · 280 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Nemiga58c113.79$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.7921550.2%108 W · 107 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Nemiga58c103.28$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.4825848.8%126 W · 132 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed G259c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3367350.1%337 W · 336 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed G259c98.79$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.291,03739.8%413 W · 624 L+20.4wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Nemiga41c97.01$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.2480740.3%325 W · 482 L-3.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed G260c96$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.623949%117 W · 122 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x267c…5bfdbacked Nemiga44c95.45$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.6517955.3%99 W · 80 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed G258c85$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.365946.6%307 W · 352 L+12.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed G260c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040050.8%203 W · 197 L-15.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked G261c83.2$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7548548.7%236 W · 249 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x202b…bd32backed Nemiga40c82.5$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.54264.3%27 W · 15 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+23.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.