CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e23ad195414a61f32366084bcb3b63048630cc2c22b628a6183d5542ba01c33
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,258
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,750
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,258 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Over | 34c | 5,985$2,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,920.12 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 66c | 5,466$3,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,584.79 | 1,523 | 51.5%785 W · 738 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Under | 66c | 728.27$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.93 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Over | 58c | 356.74$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149 | 1,489 | 58%863 W · 626 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2095…873ebacked Under | 64c | 323.5$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.04 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e5…ab6ebacked Over | 36c | 300$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 51cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb94…ad5abacked Under | 65c | 300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Under | 65c | 261.6$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.04 | 1,121 | 42.5%476 W · 645 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Over | 33c | 227.27$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.27 | 455 | 44.4%202 W · 253 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 58c | 206$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.64 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 35c | 193.38$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.7 | 610 | 55.9%341 W · 269 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Over | 40c | 181.83$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.98 | 1,060 | 49%519 W · 541 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…ed2abacked Over | 35c | 161$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.65 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed Over | 32c | 150$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Over | 33c | 147.61$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.9 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 36c | 119.83$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.69 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 64c | 118.05$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.75 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 28c | 109.16$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.56 | 1,659 | 32.7%542 W · 1,117 L | -49.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Under | 65c | 100.91$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.59 | 328 | 57.9%190 W · 138 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed Over | 32c | 99.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.99 | 170 | 41.2%70 W · 100 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Over | 43c | 97.71$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.91 | 208 | 54.8%114 W · 94 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 48c | 97.17$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.46 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Under | 65c | 85.91$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.84 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Over | 61c | 79.47$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.88 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 78c | 76.17$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 1,377 | 66.4%914 W · 463 L | +77.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 62c | 76$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.24 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 64c | 64.92$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.45 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 42c | 58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 2,456 | 44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L | -67.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 54c | 53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 1,632 | 43.2%705 W · 927 L | -32.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…932fbacked Under | 40c | 49.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 65c | 47.63$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 200 | 45%90 W · 110 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 53c | 43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 380 | 32.1%122 W · 258 L | -18.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8845…360ebacked Under | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 40c | 38.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 2,530 | 34.6%876 W · 1,654 L | -193.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Over | 67c | 37.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed Under | 58c | 32.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 590 | 44.9%265 W · 325 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Under | 43c | 29.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 225 | 52.9%119 W · 106 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c94…1b47backed Under | 68c | 26.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 45c | 26.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 358 | 41.6%149 W · 209 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc399…53abbacked Under | 55c | 23.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | -13.4wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 70c | 19.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 700 | 60.1%421 W · 279 L | +70.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe55a…b8c3backed Under | 57c | 19.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierG2 won
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs G2 - Map 1 WinnerNemiga won
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs G2 - Map 2 WinnerG2 won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs Nemiga (+3.5)Nemiga won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs Nemiga (+3.5)G2 won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs Nemiga (+3.5)G2 won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Nemiga (+1.5)Nemiga won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.