CS2 · resolved market
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs Nemiga (+3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a15b58fbfcd2075481f3b3aea2752a0a5788960a586705f756019d4841bbf4d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nemigaof G2, Nemiga
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,420
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,489
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,420 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Nemiga | 49c | 3,991$1,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.55 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed G2 | 50c | 2,035$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.9 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Nemiga | 45c | 1,835$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.24 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5e…1468backed G2 | 52c | 1,127$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.94 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed G2 | 51c | 1,025$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.81 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Nemiga | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed G2 | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Nemiga | 50c | 986$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed G2 | 55c | 834$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.7 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c4…3212backed Nemiga | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 317 | 61.2%194 W · 123 L | +22.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed G2 | 54c | 501$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.54 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked G2 | 55c | 501$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.55 | 496 | 51.2%254 W · 242 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed G2 | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…179ebacked G2 | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.99 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…0aa4backed G2 | 52c | 466.12$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.38 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked G2 | 52c | 384.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.04 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed G2 | 52c | 367.88$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.3 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked G2 | 50c | 219.92$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.68 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Nemiga | 49c | 215.03$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.67 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x091a…8287backed Nemiga | 46c | 147.7$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.76 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefe8…1edbbacked Nemiga | 50c | 115.38$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.69 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…ed2abacked Nemiga | 50c | 108$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed G2 | 54c | 106.28$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.39 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked G2 | 54c | 106.28$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.39 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -7.1wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed G2 | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74aa…2c3fbacked G2 | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e0…016abacked G2 | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed G2 | 53c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Nemiga | 50c | 74.62$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.31 | 609 | 54%329 W · 280 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…7cedbacked G2 | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6016…1ab5backed Nemiga | 50c | 46.15$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 104 | 57.7%60 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5059…6d95backed Nemiga | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs Nemiga (+3.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierG2 won
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs G2 - Map 1 WinnerNemiga won
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs G2 - Map 2 WinnerG2 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs Nemiga (+3.5)G2 won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs Nemiga (+3.5)G2 won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Nemiga (+1.5)Nemiga won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.