TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Sharks (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sharksof FURIA, Sharks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$57,973
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,155

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,973 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf559…f462backed Sharks44c10,315$4,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,782.3719055.8%106 W · 84 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Sharks43c6,895$2,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,933.7535940.4%145 W · 214 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a57…7b0abacked Sharks41c5,990$2,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,534.0922449.6%111 W · 113 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed FURIA56c4,740$2,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,654.2611547%54 W · 61 L+9.9wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed FURIA59c4,645$2,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,746.9726952.8%142 W · 127 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Sharks42c4,500$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,609.9666851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked FURIA60c4,137$2,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,487.6892456.8%525 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Sharks40c3,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.9971645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed FURIA57c3,000$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,709.9937946.4%176 W · 203 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed FURIA58c2,764$1,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,602.9621545.6%98 W · 117 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6046…87f8backed FURIA57c2,633$1,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500.811250%6 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-26.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cb0…57e0backed Sharks44c2,600$1,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4566144.3%27 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked FURIA56c2,594$1,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,452.6276058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0562…18a4backed Sharks39c2,540$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,539.8320448.5%99 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed FURIA58c2,500$1,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,452.51,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked FURIA59c2,018$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,190.4336152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed FURIA56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.991,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94cb…64e3backed FURIA56c2,000$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109.9915838%60 W · 98 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8b5abacked FURIA60c1,667$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.4wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-42.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked FURIA58c1,658$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966.139157.5%225 W · 166 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked FURIA57c1,165$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.782,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Sharks43c1,066$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.6219457.2%111 W · 83 L+9.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d08…5d9fbacked FURIA56c1,009$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.3220248%97 W · 105 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed FURIA58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5802,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Sharks41c999.98$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.991,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Sharks43c851.24$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.6259343.2%256 W · 337 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed FURIA57c625.83$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.042,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b17…d36dbacked FURIA57c608.74$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.985731.6%18 W · 39 L-8.5wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-36.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Sharks43c580$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.65,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3555…208ebacked FURIA13c569.16$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.214068.6%96 W · 44 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xccf6…b29fbacked Sharks40c528.86$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.458855.7%49 W · 39 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dd5…28f2backed FURIA56c500$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2803050%15 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a3c…38d3backed FURIA56c461.54$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25724233.9%82 W · 160 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42cd…2359backed Sharks45c447.13$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.132138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7029…1136backed FURIA59c438.77$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.6921351.2%109 W · 104 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked FURIA56c406$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.3720045%90 W · 110 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed FURIA58c400$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23240558.8%238 W · 167 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed Sharks43c400$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22855941%229 W · 330 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Sharks41c381.35$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.881,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0fb…8092backed FURIA56c351.81$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.0113245.5%60 W · 72 L-8.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked FURIA57c344.44$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.3329044.8%130 W · 160 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked FURIA55c336.64$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.1581244.3%360 W · 452 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd856…6a24backed Sharks41c322.63$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.352050%10 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+28.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed FURIA56c300$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.599148.3%479 W · 512 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1769…94efbacked FURIA56c274.99$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.9991648.9%448 W · 468 L+4.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x252f…a065backed Sharks44c262.32$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.97834.6%27 W · 51 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5537…f9c8backed FURIA57c250$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.530259.3%179 W · 123 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Sharks43c249.99$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.4976748%368 W · 399 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac64…cca0backed Sharks41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.93447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3e…7befbacked FURIA60c243.12$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.8718950.8%96 W · 93 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa10f…56eebacked Sharks41c243$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.375650%28 W · 28 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+26.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x558d…180ebacked Sharks43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.561442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+62.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Sharks43c232.05$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.0538454.2%208 W · 176 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked FURIA56c224.7$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.8391945.8%421 W · 498 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Sharks44c186.24$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.4415732.5%51 W · 106 L-11.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-30.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4087…048bbacked Sharks37c168.27$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.117850%39 W · 39 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6515…b867backed FURIA60c166.66$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.39per pick51cpaid-72.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf9c2…e8bcbacked Sharks44c159.09$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.09366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d3…42e4backed FURIA57c157.89$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903237.5%12 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f2b…8775backed FURIA59c148.21$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8728556.8%162 W · 123 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ed8…7559backed Sharks43c139.53$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.5321950.2%110 W · 109 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed FURIA52c138.72$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.511,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f8…131abacked Sharks72c138.23$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.233644.4%16 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60e3…57b5backed FURIA58c131.29$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.1521060%126 W · 84 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed FURIA59c127.12$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7522254.5%121 W · 101 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked Sharks43c120$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.433459%197 W · 137 L+24.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Sharks43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2840050.8%203 W · 197 L-15.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked FURIA57c116.28$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.281,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5e7f…33b5backed Sharks52c114.39$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.072142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed Sharks44c113.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.4416761.7%103 W · 64 L-0.5wins0.00per pick62cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d1a…ebcebacked FURIA63c103.48$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.193557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0c8…97b4backed FURIA60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6047165.2%307 W · 164 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bf1…294fbacked FURIA38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3813642.6%58 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed Sharks40c97.22$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.3360853.3%324 W · 284 L+20.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed Sharks45c89.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.3520755.1%114 W · 93 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed FURIA60c85$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5165946.6%307 W · 352 L+12.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd468…f6febacked FURIA60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5046042.8%197 W · 263 L+16.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2093…b974backed FURIA60c81.67$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ff0…0a65backed Sharks43c72.98$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.63050%15 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+66.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9bb…cad6backed FURIA58c68.7$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0513754%74 W · 63 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c60…01febacked Sharks44c68.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1819151.8%99 W · 92 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9754…fb93backed FURIA59c67.14$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6112045%54 W · 66 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x91b9…889fbacked FURIA60c65.57$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.342646.2%12 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Sharks62c63.41$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.368659.5%408 W · 278 L+65.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked FURIA57c62.5$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6353545%241 W · 294 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Sharks44c62.31$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.0449149.9%245 W · 246 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d6b…a307backed FURIA50c57.57$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.712046.7%56 W · 64 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc7d…8895backed Sharks43c52.95$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.9522460.7%136 W · 88 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x19a3…3d7ebacked Sharks44c45.23$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.33475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+35.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98ba…4212backed FURIA58c43.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2519347.2%91 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10ad…827cbacked FURIA41c41.69$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9930639.5%121 W · 185 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9a9…e7d8backed Sharks46c39.68$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.437252.8%38 W · 34 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1b6…e0a0backed FURIA55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208253.7%44 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4e1…60ebbacked FURIA57c36$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.521435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-33.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x786c…dd20backed Sharks43c34.88$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8821942.5%93 W · 126 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e4d…3738backed Sharks43c34.77$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.77862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xece7…3353backed Sharks44c34.09$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.091877.8%14 W · 4 L+4.4wins+0.24per pick53cpaid+55.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked FURIA61c33.42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3925650.4%129 W · 127 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea6a…f194backed FURIA60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018643.5%81 W · 105 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeffb…4fb5backed Sharks42c30.95$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.954057.5%23 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.