CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9646bec762911e16ea86ad01e46b0a32d922b8294f48e0e1888b7de91415a686
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,310
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,934
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,310 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 54c | 1,813$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.26 | 5,400 | 31.5%1,699 W · 3,701 L | -393.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed Under | 66c | 1,639$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.54 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed Over | 34c | 1,505$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.25 | 173 | 38.7%67 W · 106 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…2b3cbacked Over | 50c | 1,390$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.96 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Over | 46c | 1,387$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.2 | 1,069 | 49.3%527 W · 542 L | +40.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 52c | 666$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.32 | 3,994 | 36.5%1,456 W · 2,538 L | -207.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 48c | 357.67$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.62 | 2,707 | 47.9%1,296 W · 1,411 L | -30.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed Under | 64c | 198.56$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.72 | 159 | 48.4%77 W · 82 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed Under | 30c | 168.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 749 | 39.1%293 W · 456 L | -28.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…02febacked Under | 63c | 163.02$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.7 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…efffbacked Over | 71c | 157.59$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.7 | 229 | 40.6%93 W · 136 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Over | 35c | 157.31$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.25 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 52c | 152.27$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 3,624 | 29.4%1,065 W · 2,559 L | -291.8wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Over | 71c | 130$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 34c | 114$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed Under | 65c | 109.35$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.08 | 181 | 46.4%84 W · 97 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f3…b3eebacked Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -6.3wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 62c | 76.37$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.35 | 283 | 53.4%151 W · 132 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 52c | 72.61$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.82 | 2,585 | 34.6%894 W · 1,691 L | -200.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 49c | 63.53$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.71 | 711 | 60.1%427 W · 284 L | +70.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…848ebacked Over | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da2…22b6backed Over | 57c | 40.35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 404 | 45.5%184 W · 220 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 62c | 31.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 819 | 44.4%364 W · 455 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4290…af07backed Under | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 53c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 1,634 | 43.2%706 W · 928 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Over | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 454 | 63.7%289 W · 165 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Under | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 63c | 27.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 1,950 | 47.8%932 W · 1,018 L | -50.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 53c | 26.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 2,412 | 45.4%1,095 W · 1,317 L | -62.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2da…fdd7backed Under | 54c | 25.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ba…4b8abacked Over | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 51c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 2,472 | 44.5%1,101 W · 1,371 L | -68.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Sharks vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierSharks won
- Counter-Strike: Sharks vs FURIA - Map 1 WinnerSharks won
- Counter-Strike: Sharks vs FURIA - Map 2 WinnerFURIA won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs Sharks (+3.5)Sharks won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs Sharks (+3.5)FURIA won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs Sharks (+3.5)Sharks won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Sharks (+1.5)Sharks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.