TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
NIPof BetBoom Team, NIP
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$23,725
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$25,124

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,725 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x29b5…cc6cbacked NIP63c9,854$6,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,643.255,02855%2,763 W · 2,265 L+112.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf1a…ba1ebacked BetBoom Team37c6,800$2,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5164445.5%20 W · 24 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked NIP62c3,792$2,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,440.791,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8992…ed1fbacked BetBoom Team38c2,900$1,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1024963.3%31 W · 18 L+6.9wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+53.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked NIP62c2,608$1,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9911,47651.8%765 W · 711 L-4.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cbf…0eb4backed BetBoom Team37c2,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74037157.7%214 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed NIP62c2,000$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.9978639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1448…e868backed BetBoom Team38c1,763$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6706936.2%25 W · 44 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcefd…d6aabacked BetBoom Team36c1,267$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4565639.3%22 W · 34 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cd4…ce48backed BetBoom Team38c1,254$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.679646.9%45 W · 51 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked BetBoom Team36c857.73$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.3327753.8%149 W · 128 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed NIP64c800$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29155441.2%228 W · 326 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed BetBoom Team37c680$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.656941.3%235 W · 334 L-21.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed NIP64c625$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22559055.3%326 W · 264 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbaf…2a03backed BetBoom Team38c600$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22811341.6%47 W · 66 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7786…c005backed BetBoom Team36c561.64$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.4122142.1%93 W · 128 L-13.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x98ba…4212backed BetBoom Team38c526.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019146.6%89 W · 102 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbadb…31a7backed BetBoom Team37c499.98$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.9911844.9%53 W · 65 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed NIP64c489.89$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.361,99853.7%1,073 W · 925 L+5.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83c4…3212backed NIP66c455.4$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.431261.2%191 W · 121 L+21.8wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xec7b…917ebacked BetBoom Team38c394.74$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15027041.1%111 W · 159 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed NIP62c264$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.3273854.5%402 W · 336 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3da2…22b6backed BetBoom Team38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038945.8%178 W · 211 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed BetBoom Team38c257.13$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.7119448.5%94 W · 100 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked BetBoom Team37c140$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.858254.3%316 W · 266 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d42…eb8ebacked BetBoom Team38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504447.7%21 W · 23 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1bac…d241backed BetBoom Team38c128$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6440439.6%160 W · 244 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5181…504bbacked NIP66c112.83$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.363953.8%21 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed BetBoom Team32c112.31$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.941,03739.8%413 W · 624 L+20.4wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed NIP63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3712751.2%65 W · 62 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f88…c6e8backed BetBoom Team33c99.03$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.589033.3%30 W · 60 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc06…7f72backed BetBoom Team38c92.11$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353438.2%13 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed NIP67c89.03$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.382,42944.6%1,083 W · 1,346 L-63.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed BetBoom Team34c88.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.21,82847.6%871 W · 957 L-54.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed BetBoom Team38c78.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3050050.6%253 W · 247 L+2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed BetBoom Team36c72.22$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2620944%92 W · 117 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe41c…afabbacked BetBoom Team38c65.79$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2549651.2%254 W · 242 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed NIP63c60$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.267350.1%337 W · 336 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb54c…7f56backed NIP66c56.42$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.186155.7%34 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe549…ea83backed BetBoom Team38c55.26$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2132561.2%199 W · 126 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd924…7bc2backed BetBoom Team37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012143.8%53 W · 68 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked NIP63c54.05$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2021737.3%81 W · 136 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed NIP73c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.51,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8fe…ba40backed BetBoom Team36c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1822060.9%134 W · 86 L+16.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed BetBoom Team38c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.234742.9%149 W · 198 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93dc…3728backed BetBoom Team38c39.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1549947.5%237 W · 262 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa28c…0042backed BetBoom Team38c36.32$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.755543.6%24 W · 31 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc644…07bbbacked NIP63c35$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.954151.2%21 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf27…f35fbacked NIP65c34.85$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.217159.6%102 W · 69 L+0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9bb…cad6backed BetBoom Team38c32.58$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3813754%74 W · 63 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x497e…a18abacked NIP63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.756958%40 W · 29 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed NIP62c31.32$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.968059.3%403 W · 277 L+64.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x69fa…e259backed NIP68c19.54$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2560753.9%327 W · 280 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1f…1e14backed NIP66c16.38$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.5719453.6%104 W · 90 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac71…f74cbacked NIP68c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.88737.9%33 W · 54 L-15.9wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-37.8%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.