CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1988a3b5d321c036980628d184eac1c2f23d5696cb80602e61d7514a12965f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,525
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,105
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,525 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 54c | 1,415$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.57 | 1,523 | 51.5%785 W · 738 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 46c | 807$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.69 | 531 | 35%186 W · 345 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Over | 46c | 750$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 362 | 40.3%146 W · 216 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c6e8backed Under | 51c | 284$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.43 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 66c | 275.62$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.41 | 1,377 | 66.4%914 W · 463 L | +77.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 380 | 49.5%188 W · 192 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 49c | 157$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.93 | 2,456 | 44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L | -67.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 22c | 156.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.61 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 53c | 151$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.97 | 318 | 43.1%137 W · 181 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 52c | 134.78$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.7 | 1,723 | 46.8%807 W · 916 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 51c | 125$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.3 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 31c | 124.11$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 750 | 48.4%363 W · 387 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07f1…3b8ebacked Over | 60c | 101.81$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 53c | 100.84$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.8 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3504…d4f1backed Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Under | 56c | 90.18$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 33c | 84.24$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.57 | 1,632 | 43.2%705 W · 927 L | -32.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 31c | 81.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 815 | 51.7%421 W · 394 L | +26.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 36c | 80.57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.22 | 1,659 | 32.7%542 W · 1,117 L | -49.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 29c | 61.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 2,530 | 34.6%876 W · 1,654 L | -193.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13a4…797fbacked Under | 78c | 59.29$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…bf4dbacked Over | 46c | 49.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed Under | 41c | 45.46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.82 | 742 | 39.1%290 W · 452 L | -29.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Over | 45c | 39.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 1,121 | 42.5%476 W · 645 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 55c | 34.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 1,895 | 47.8%906 W · 989 L | -50.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…ba42backed Under | 51c | 24.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 130 | 56.2%73 W · 57 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed Over | 43c | 23.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 235 | 26.4%62 W · 173 L | -15.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…5df1backed Under | 54c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed Under | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c94…1b47backed Under | 62c | 19.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Over | 62c | 16.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 773 | 46.1%356 W · 417 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group BNIP won
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 WinnerNIP won
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 WinnerNIP won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BetBoom Team (-3.5) vs NIP (+3.5)NIP won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5)NIP won
- Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)NIP won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.