CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe18a339f2b3490ce6bf05d0a39e6a223a26d45222c4303cf1aaddefa8dac29c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,087
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,592
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,087 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 46c | 3,591$1,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,945.31 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 53c | 1,945$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.73 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 68c | 1,518$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.32 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 62c | 1,415$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48b3…d21cbacked Over | 48c | 944.83$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.31 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacca…3fb0backed Over | 5c | 625.01$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.95per pick | 5cpaid | +1,900%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 60c | 617.37$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.18 | 1,377 | 66.4%914 W · 463 L | +77.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Under | 53c | 446.32$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.35 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed Over | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 385 | 52.7%203 W · 182 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Over | 47c | 263.5$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.66 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3812…e4b0backed Over | 47c | 250$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Under | 73c | 198.27$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.82 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 24c | 168$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.91 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72ef…3d3bbacked Over | 52c | 127.59$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.79 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91c4…9deabacked Over | 57c | 55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf529…755fbacked Under | 27c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 59c | 49.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Over | 47c | 28.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 52c | 23.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 700 | 60.1%421 W · 279 L | +70.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x69dc…0cf5backed Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 78 | 66.7%52 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Over | 63c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs AM Gaming (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group ASashi Esport won
- Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs AM Gaming - Map 1 WinnerSashi Esport won
- Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs AM Gaming - Map 2 WinnerAM Gaming won
- Map Handicap: SASHI (-1.5) vs AM Gaming (+1.5)AM Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.