Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Otakar Esports vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - VCL Spain: Rising Phase 2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa62d9b681d57229cb4b3831787410f10d474107bffb0256456c59b68082372c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UCAM Esports Clubof Otakar Esports, UCAM Esports Club
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,666
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,131
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,666 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b37…1f70backed UCAM Esports Club | 69c | 4,605$3,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,417.35 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae8…c9a3backed Otakar Esports | 32c | 1,633$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.66 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a6…ab62backed Otakar Esports | 30c | 1,007$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Otakar Esports | 24c | 760$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.71 | 415 | 37.1%154 W · 261 L | -26.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked Otakar Esports | 30c | 536.59$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.77 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -11.0wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd037…5ea2backed Otakar Esports | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked Otakar Esports | 18c | 326.73$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked UCAM Esports Club | 75c | 209.73$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.53 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Otakar Esports | 31c | 202$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.48 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Otakar Esports | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked UCAM Esports Club | 72c | 180.28$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.14 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked UCAM Esports Club | 71c | 160.08$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.42 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Otakar Esports | 13c | 157.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 1,619 | 45.1%730 W · 889 L | -25.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Otakar Esports | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Otakar Esports | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b86…dd8fbacked Otakar Esports | 30c | 97.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -8.7wins | -0.31per pick | 60cpaid | -50%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed UCAM Esports Club | 71c | 70.97$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46b3…d3debacked Otakar Esports | 30c | 56.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Otakar Esports | 27c | 55.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 199 | 43.7%87 W · 112 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x274e…1d72backed Otakar Esports | 29c | 49.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Otakar Esports | 30c | 36.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7334…cc1cbacked Otakar Esports | 31c | 33.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…8d38backed UCAM Esports Club | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 89 | 66.3%59 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Otakar Esports vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - VCL Spain: Rising Phase 2 Playoffsthis page
- Valorant: Otakar Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Map 1 WinnerUCAM Esports Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.