TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Lakers vs. Pistons

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pistonsof Lakers, Pistons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$82,481
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$92,358

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,481 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2ff0…46e3backed Pistons57c13,225$7,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,747.7347656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Lakers49c7,329$3,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,613.8536748.2%177 W · 190 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed Lakers26c3,249$841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840.7919137.7%72 W · 119 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x737e…8e9bbacked Lakers40c2,693$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,075.223946.2%18 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Lakers1c2,525$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1423833.2%79 W · 159 L-19.1wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-47.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7106…fb79backed Lakers48c2,500$1,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2106955.1%38 W · 31 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Lakers20c2,470$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50027041.5%112 W · 158 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Pistons39c2,137$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,311.2427939.8%111 W · 168 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Pistons33c2,072$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,393.421,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Pistons28c2,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.9537954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Lakers27c1,704$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.661532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Pistons49c1,452$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.3765642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6761…a94fbacked Lakers71c1,441$1,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,022.849248.9%45 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Pistons28c1,320$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$945.7946131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Lakers71c1,200$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85213857.2%79 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Lakers4c1,187$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.451,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Lakers72c1,186$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853.9127546.2%127 W · 148 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Pistons29c1,000$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7101,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa34e…895ebacked Pistons29c1,000$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7102924.1%7 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xead7…efedbacked Lakers1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1014542.8%62 W · 83 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3fa3…dc66backed Lakers50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006943.5%30 W · 39 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5335…0b0fbacked Lakers42c1,000$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4222425%6 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-44.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Pistons28c999.99$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.991,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7b2…ece3backed Pistons27c999.92$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.9419642.9%84 W · 112 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked Pistons27c971.24$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.0114129.1%41 W · 100 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+5.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xafa8…3184backed Lakers1c887.98$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0d4…d4f6backed Pistons78c845.56$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.27333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-57.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7405…2797backed Lakers51c784.93$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.83351.5%17 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Lakers55c727.27$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40053134.7%184 W · 347 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb10e…beedbacked Lakers71c699.99$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.991838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cb5…98f8backed Pistons27c630.47$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.25955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+25.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x306b…3ec5backed Lakers11c581.19$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.0111332.7%37 W · 76 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa88d…221cbacked Lakers39c549.99$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.751643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x442b…5410backed Lakers50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x02cb…ae38backed Lakers30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010462.5%65 W · 39 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78bf…212fbacked Lakers75c480.33$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2f8…60e3backed Lakers71c472.97$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.8120%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd968…bd18backed Lakers56c392.5$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.88334.9%29 W · 54 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc390…715cbacked Lakers33c361.85$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1208347%39 W · 44 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1361…822ebacked Lakers56c356.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8aa6…c86dbacked Lakers73c353.38$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.971154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick66cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Lakers40c350$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13923835.7%85 W · 153 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8c0…f5e1backed Lakers73c347.22$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.17540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-36.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8c6…9211backed Lakers73c345.73$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.3814847.3%70 W · 78 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe77e…d303backed Lakers33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-59%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8140…b92fbacked Lakers69c302.68$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.989149.5%45 W · 46 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Pistons71c300$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8736057.5%207 W · 153 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Lakers28c272.92$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.1411719.7%23 W · 94 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Lakers63c251.69$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.671,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4b6…bb1cbacked Lakers32c249.5$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.841631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9a5…8ce6backed Lakers35c210$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.51118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick36cpaid-59%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4965…176fbacked Lakers65c209.23$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1362560%15 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+28.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x47fa…4bbebacked Lakers22c200$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442254.5%12 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x33cc…a0b6backed Lakers46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9218437.5%69 W · 115 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Pistons28c189.95$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.2672341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f19…aec2backed Lakers73c183.18$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.7236747.7%175 W · 192 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78da…9d47backed Lakers39c169.21$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.996851.5%35 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ea7…f625backed Lakers28c168.66$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.228232.9%27 W · 55 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1c4b…f1e6backed Lakers33c165.91$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.755856.9%33 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x576b…7336backed Lakers30c150$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4518316.9%31 W · 152 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcad…0dacbacked Lakers72c138.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007754.5%42 W · 35 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a09…335dbacked Lakers78c137.94$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.124452.3%23 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdfc9…d3d0backed Lakers73c137.46$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0328…28fabacked Lakers31c130.19$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4022430.8%69 W · 155 L-0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9857…be38backed Lakers39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503844.7%17 W · 21 L+4.8wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+40.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xdf7e…d16ebacked Pistons29c125.28$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.272100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+205.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x30ac…f26dbacked Lakers31c123.33$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.58633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-29.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca69…fd01backed Pistons60c122.26$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.082965.5%19 W · 10 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cb3…1f40backed Pistons29c110.34$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.34862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+40.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7742…03e9backed Lakers13c106.94$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8319939.2%78 W · 121 L-17.7wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-30.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7eee…5d47backed Lakers30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302722.2%6 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-35.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb984…2a41backed Pistons29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7110525.7%27 W · 78 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick20cpaid+40%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd28e…d68fbacked Lakers72c100$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726547.7%31 W · 34 L-5.9wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x87f7…91e3backed Lakers34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346230.6%19 W · 43 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Lakers46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.1377437.5%290 W · 484 L-1.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa310…4c56backed Lakers20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20825%2 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-49.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Pistons28c100$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729045.6%41 W · 49 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8cd7…95f6backed Lakers32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e1b…7ccabacked Lakers50c99.51$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015149%74 W · 77 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa90…2be3backed Pistons41c96.61$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.611060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4f3…a05ebacked Lakers73c95.89$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ce7…fd4abacked Lakers72c94.09$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.7414057.9%81 W · 59 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x244b…c990backed Lakers72c91.26$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.06250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Lakers70c91$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.734644.2%153 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Pistons45c90.91$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe4f…5241backed Lakers55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015341.8%64 W · 89 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x18cb…7364backed Lakers73c82.19$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x72fd…7e92backed Lakers73c80.74$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.941010%1 W · 9 L-4.3wins-0.43per pick53cpaid-85.9%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x40d5…acd1backed Lakers32c78.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254537.8%17 W · 28 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0cfe…1b03backed Lakers73c75.34$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5520%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ad0…bcbcbacked Lakers73c75$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.75250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-32.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab68…1bb1backed Lakers27c74.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015911.9%19 W · 140 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-41.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bcb…4b4bbacked Lakers71c70.42$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501070%7 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick73cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x256a…1c70backed Lakers42c70$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.45939%23 W · 36 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xceab…bbfabacked Pistons27c70$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.11861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick44cpaid+38.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7c81…1a5cbacked Lakers73c68.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502466.7%16 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+34.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1497…aedebacked Lakers73c68.49$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503850%19 W · 19 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5433…0d50backed Pistons68c64.84$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.752166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+42.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x44ab…a5dabacked Lakers71c63.07$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.78425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-64.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf65e…3850backed Lakers33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2024336.2%88 W · 155 L-0.7wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.