TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$119,072
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$122,254

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,072 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x38f0…2768backed Over51c67,218$34,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,343.143650%18 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under48c10,880$5,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,703.862,49942.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L+52.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under38c9,949$3,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,150.625,91046.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L+50.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under49c9,218$4,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,734.041,21450.2%610 W · 604 L+12.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under49c8,122$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,122.4413746.7%64 W · 73 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under48c4,226$2,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,197.5613855.8%77 W · 61 L-0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Under49c4,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,039.951127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under13c3,714$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,214.419526.3%25 W · 70 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under49c3,711$1,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,893.471,70750.6%863 W · 844 L+27.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under49c3,336$1,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,695.31,76050.3%885 W · 875 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under49c2,892$1,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,470.462,39737.8%905 W · 1,492 L-3.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under50c1,600$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80018253.3%97 W · 85 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked Over51c1,500$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76510634.9%37 W · 69 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Under50c1,400$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70012552.8%66 W · 59 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over67c1,382$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926.7169252.3%362 W · 330 L+1.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f0c…5292backed Under48c1,380$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.367042.9%30 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Under38c1,291$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.431154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60012050%60 W · 60 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over44c1,132$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49815119.2%29 W · 122 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-30.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Under48c1,045$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.54158.5%24 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under49c1,044$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.0140051%204 W · 196 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over35c1,029$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.110235.3%36 W · 66 L-9.1wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-22.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0def…4ddbbacked Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006248.4%30 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1a0…fb89backed Under45c967.11$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.83837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-26%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under72c922.06$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.6224654.1%133 W · 113 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under33c765.79$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.561,05341.9%441 W · 612 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc29…383bbacked Under45c750$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.59441.5%39 W · 55 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under50c733$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.4593446.1%431 W · 503 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under50c700$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35013154.2%71 W · 60 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Under23c682.74$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.0312741.7%53 W · 74 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a70…76b5backed Under50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30017147.4%81 W · 90 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under49c583$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.121,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under48c543.58$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.6611764.1%75 W · 42 L+11.7wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+17.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under48c543.12$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.4230049.7%149 W · 151 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25015150.3%76 W · 75 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb10e…beedbacked Under60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Under47c471.92$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.1216856%94 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under47c460$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.817658%102 W · 74 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under49c459.99$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.822,46740.3%993 W · 1,474 L-15.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under48c453.87$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.071,10946.2%512 W · 597 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under48c400$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2085152.9%27 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20021052.4%110 W · 100 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20014353.8%77 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over77c389.68$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30033452.7%176 W · 158 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over65c383.63$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.8830464.8%197 W · 107 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x012a…c01dbacked Over42c357.45$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503435.3%12 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under49c357$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.0716454.3%89 W · 75 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc52…dfcebacked Under48c320$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.42748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under58c312.62$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.787645.1%395 W · 481 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00b4…87bfbacked Under17c302.39$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.863231.3%10 W · 22 L-8.8wins-0.28per pick59cpaid-33.6%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Over53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15915133.8%51 W · 100 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15015354.9%84 W · 69 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Under50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1503246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15016152.2%84 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over34c300$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10217440.2%70 W · 104 L-12.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over53c284.91$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1516738.8%26 W · 41 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under54c274.03$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.411,52254.9%835 W · 687 L+5.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x153a…212dbacked Over37c268.69$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001030%3 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-47.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbaca…49e6backed Over76c265.37$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.631560%9 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under50c260$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13014951%76 W · 73 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under50c260$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13014452.1%75 W · 69 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.779756.7%55 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8356…d6cbbacked Under48c206.25$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.25757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5da…ff1dbacked Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+59.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Under48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1044346.5%20 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Under48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1044862.5%30 W · 18 L+6.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+24.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf0ca…117abacked Over45c199.98$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.9922642.5%96 W · 130 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e3…810cbacked Over50c199.18$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005246.2%24 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over51c196.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.991,43435.2%505 W · 929 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over53c180$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.48119.8%16 W · 65 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed Under57c173.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.9310547.6%50 W · 55 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbffb…a60ebacked Under14c165.95$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.386643.9%29 W · 37 L-7.9wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-20.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x565a…3207backed Under54c164.81$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.81837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under50c160$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8012552.8%66 W · 59 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under50c156$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7814854.1%80 W · 68 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under50c154.05$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.5717953.6%96 W · 83 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9958…b9acbacked Over77c150$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.51457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under50c140$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7016154.7%88 W · 73 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under35c139.02$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.11,35445.4%615 W · 739 L+14.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under49c135$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.851,95954.6%1,069 W · 890 L+36.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88ed…8300backed Over51c127.45$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8af5…4bbabacked Over78c119.49$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.22330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-35%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Over34c105.88$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3612941.1%53 W · 76 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaad3…d0d2backed Under60c102.95$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.958146.9%38 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc46e…9ed8backed Over49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504528.9%13 W · 32 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-29.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0440156.4%226 W · 175 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5134050.9%173 W · 167 L+19.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5127338.8%106 W · 167 L-14.7wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5016155.9%90 W · 71 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5012852.3%67 W · 61 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under48c99.98$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.9917545.7%80 W · 95 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xba5c…c5edbacked Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f09…1f55backed Under50c97.66$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.831030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-41.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc51a…7ad9backed Over62c96.63$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-29.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7891…c020backed Under49c95.6$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.42977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+30.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7736…c991backed Over51c95.08$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.491553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8874…ba49backed Under50c85.06$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.532100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a7…e5d4backed Under49c84.52$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.111330.8%4 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.24per pick54cpaid-42.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.