Asian League · resolved market
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77571c5d9479c5578dd3e45c872458f17e6ed1f9da678b1c452b9bf4918a13e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,741
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,210
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,741 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb619…5068backed No | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,759.95 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 56c | 2,252$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.04 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b5…2d74backed Yes | 56c | 660.71$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.71 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 56c | 478.5$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.54 | 2,456 | 37.9%931 W · 1,525 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 56c | 358.79$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.05 | 1,235 | 49.9%616 W · 619 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed No | 44c | 296.09$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.19 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 54c | 183.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.63 | 1,080 | 41.7%450 W · 630 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 43c | 177.04$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.53 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20b…3ae4backed Yes | 58c | 129.31$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.31 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 56c | 119.75$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.69 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 43c | 114.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.71 | 151 | 33.8%51 W · 100 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed No | 43c | 111.59$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.23 | 154 | 55.8%86 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed No | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 56c | 59.48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.17 | 1,357 | 45.5%617 W · 740 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed No | 43c | 57.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfe…bfb7backed No | 44c | 55.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed No | 44c | 51.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 41c | 45.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 59c | 42.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.47 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72fc…b1fbbacked Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 56c | 35.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…f166backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa636…dfe9backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 57c | 28.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…01c6backed No | 51c | 25.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4204…165abacked Yes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf555…b36bbacked Yes | 56c | 24.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-1.5)Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-2.5)Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC won
- Spread: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC (-2.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.