Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa779dbb4f42f915cb13140fe3cf122c0f6239e2ccfc936918846d578a01ce277
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dalian Yingbo FCof Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC, Dalian Yingbo FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,396
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,769
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,396 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f35…b8a9backed Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 7c | 1,045$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5e…26c0backed Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 6c | 1,030$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe07e…5406backed Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 6c | 1,029$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dac…19c4backed Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 6c | 1,025$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e0…879ebacked Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 7c | 1,019$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5d…16febacked Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 6c | 1,015$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fe…a963backed Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 6c | 1,015$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ece…86bdbacked Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 6c | 1,015$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a08…7328backed Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 6c | 1,015$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd184…078bbacked Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 5c | 1,015$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f86…df06backed Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 5c | 1,015$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb279…e54cbacked Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 6c | 1,015$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f76…ea95backed Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 6c | 1,010$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…5db8backed Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6c…74dfbacked Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 6c | 994$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…cc84backed Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 6c | 985$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…493bbacked Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 6c | 980$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63ee…af7bbacked Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 6c | 975$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x462e…ce3abacked Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 7c | 966$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3f…43fabacked Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 6c | 963$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f8…8d2abacked Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 7c | 941.4$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…9b3abacked Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 6c | 938$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…151dbacked Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 6c | 900$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a95…b6fbbacked Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 7c | 878$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1de0…0b11backed Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 5c | 789.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b64…cb08backed Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 5c | 787.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6e…a757backed Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 5c | 745$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ede…71b6backed Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 7c | 744$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 7cpaid | +438.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe718…1cd3backed Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 7c | 737.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 5c | 628.21$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.04 | 151 | 33.8%51 W · 100 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bc…e066backed Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 7c | 621.07$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC (-2.5)this page
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-1.5)Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-2.5)Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.