Asian League · resolved market
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ad7bb6b1c44b19c3eb018a8a44c73045b4c1bf50bf9925cec6e935403080581
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,499
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,172
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,499 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 12c | 2,476$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 75c | 2,132$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.16 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…fb89backed Under | 60c | 2,031$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.63 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 18c | 1,639$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.6 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 46c | 1,225$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.82 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 72c | 1,215$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.97 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 31c | 990$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.9 | 108 | 23.1%25 W · 83 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 45c | 811.5$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.21 | 151 | 33.8%51 W · 100 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8356…d6cbbacked Under | 77c | 779.22$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.22 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 23c | 758.71$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.18 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39f8…badabacked Under | 45c | 671.84$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c2…190dbacked Over | 47c | 508.78$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.06 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa52c…df52backed Over | 55c | 366.39$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 43c | 253.39$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.5 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 46c | 249.65$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.11 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 70c | 241.6$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.27 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4e…6478backed Over | 38c | 211.25$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.16 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Under | 54c | 205.82$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.28 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 226 | 42.5%96 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 58c | 198.38$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.06 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 53c | 198.31$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.22 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…1f0abacked Under | 60c | 170$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Over | 35c | 169.46$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 28c | 147.23$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.45 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 57c | 145.6$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.17 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 29c | 139.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.38 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…1938backed Under | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 70c | 127.43$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.23 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Under | 62c | 124.19$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.19 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -7.4wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 71c | 93.48$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.11 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 30c | 89.43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…92d6backed Over | 30c | 67.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…7ad9backed Over | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4c…ad2fbacked Over | 30c | 47.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78d7…291dbacked Under | 52c | 46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…01c6backed Under | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 30c | 43.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Under | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 192 | 68.2%131 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…e00fbacked Over | 30c | 33.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Under | 57c | 30.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 45 | 71.1%32 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…f7c2backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -43%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 72c | 24.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Under | 44c | 22.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Under | 51c | 20.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 49c | 20.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 62c | 20.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb239…80b4backed Under | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 61c | 19.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 69c | 17.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 117 | 64.1%75 W · 42 L | +11.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Under | 68c | 15.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-1.5)Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-2.5)Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC won
- Spread: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC (-2.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.