Asian League · resolved market
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7de4879b4ea1a97dfdd647579bdc57939ddbe8d679a4a5835310363b475a661b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,167
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,484
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,167 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 24c | 2,126$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 95 | 26.3%25 W · 70 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 77c | 1,074$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.53 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 25c | 515.85$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.74 | 225 | 44%99 W · 126 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed Over | 75c | 350$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 70c | 323.27$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.22 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 76c | 230.38$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.29 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Over | 77c | 194.81$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 76c | 183.88$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.14 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 23c | 148.86$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.24 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 23c | 140.81$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.97 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Over | 77c | 129.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.97 | 92 | 69.6%64 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 75c | 118$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.45 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 77c | 105.29$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00b4…87bfbacked Under | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -8.8wins | -0.28per pick | 59cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 75c | 93.51$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.38 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 30c | 85.87$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc7…0451backed Under | 25c | 84.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 75c | 66.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Over | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 76c | 64.4$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5331…3672backed Over | 77c | 45.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83dd…e056backed Over | 77c | 43.66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Under | 25c | 40.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Over | 77c | 36.36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 154 | 55.8%86 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 188 | 38.8%73 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x499c…2f8ebacked Over | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 75c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1301…2cf7backed Over | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c78…e29bbacked Over | 71c | 14.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 80 | 67.5%54 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-1.5)Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-2.5)Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC won
- Spread: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC (-2.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.