NBA · resolved market

Hawks vs. Pelicans

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83f87823fc9c45eafd287994df1700c82f272f5e7173fb29ca1694ff73ae2844

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Hawksof Hawks, Pelicans
Resolved: Nov 3, 2024, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $63,685
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $71,379

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,685 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7106…fb79backed Hawks	53c	9,706$5,140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,566.55	69	55.1%38 W · 31 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9eea…281dbacked Pelicans	60c	5,873$3,510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,510.23	265	47.9%127 W · 138 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…742dbacked Pelicans	50c	3,000$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	36	58.3%21 W · 15 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Hawks	62c	2,854$1,767 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,086.98	476	56.5%269 W · 207 L	+6.0wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6761…a94fbacked Hawks	47c	2,598$1,229 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,368.53	92	48.9%45 W · 47 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Pelicans	32c	2,531$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	531	34.7%184 W · 347 L	-11.7wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd244…f24cbacked Pelicans	43c	2,326$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	25	36%9 W · 16 L	+2.1wins	+0.08per pick	28cpaid	+35.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa501…9f0fbacked Pelicans	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	45	26.7%12 W · 33 L	-5.4wins	-0.12per pick	39cpaid	-44%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb10e…beedbacked Hawks	40c	1,817$731 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,086.47	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-1.5wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2765…94cbbacked Pelicans	62c	1,650$1,023 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,023	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Hawks	53c	1,557$828 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$728.64	279	39.8%111 W · 168 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Pelicans	26c	1,498$385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$384.9	656	42.5%279 W · 377 L	-2.9wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Pelicans	55c	1,400$770 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$770	138	57.2%79 W · 59 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed Hawks	51c	1,275$650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$624.53	80	46.3%37 W · 43 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Hawks	40c	1,248$504 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$743.79	762	49.5%377 W · 385 L	-8.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Hawks	44c	1,221$539 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$681.26	1,290	44%567 W · 723 L	+35.0wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Pelicans	10c	920.61$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.1	117	19.7%23 W · 94 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Hawks	38c	879.91$336 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$544.05	461	31%143 W · 318 L	+15.6wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd323…9e96backed Hawks	38c	805.43$306 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$499.43	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec6a…a421backed Pelicans	39c	684.87$267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$267.1	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-3.3wins	-0.23per pick	52cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x905f…ad6bbacked Pelicans	37c	635.6$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$234.71	79	58.2%46 W · 33 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	62cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Pelicans	30c	600$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	1,090	35.8%390 W · 700 L	+40.1wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb492…b7edbacked Pelicans	45c	584.05$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262.75	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-3.5wins	-0.18per pick	50cpaid	-50.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc7b2…ece3backed Pelicans	60c	500$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	196	42.9%84 W · 112 L	-10.9wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f85…d745backed Pelicans	49c	408.16$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	104	41.3%43 W · 61 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Pelicans	59c	400$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236	122	47.5%58 W · 64 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Hawks	55c	351.84$193 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$158.51	615	32.2%198 W · 417 L	-21.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd59f…33e8backed Pelicans	29c	339.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc092…0cd9backed Hawks	45c	323.83$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.69	50	32%16 W · 34 L	-3.2wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6967…1986backed Pelicans	63c	319.39$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x02cb…ae38backed Pelicans	49c	276.49$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.48	104	62.5%65 W · 39 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8c6…9211backed Hawks	53c	271.7$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.81	148	47.3%70 W · 78 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61f1…19b0backed Pelicans	46c	249.37$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.1	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-2.9wins	-0.58per pick	58cpaid	-100%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2376…30f5backed Pelicans	46c	217.39$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	83	59%49 W · 34 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18cb…7364backed Hawks	53c	207.55$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.55	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.11per pick	56cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Pelicans	58c	200.02$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.9	1,166	54.4%634 W · 532 L	+19.3wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Pelicans	6c	200$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	136	11.8%16 W · 120 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	+41.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda67…b950backed Pelicans	27c	200$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	49	44.9%22 W · 27 L	+3.0wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x33cc…a0b6backed Hawks	55c	199.99$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90	184	37.5%69 W · 115 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-14%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5be…8728backed Pelicans	51c	171.57$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.5	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-2.9wins	-0.13per pick	50cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6f87…dd1cbacked Pelicans	59c	169.49$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+2.1wins	+0.11per pick	44cpaid	+37%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6650…d38ebacked Pelicans	61c	165$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.65	67	46.3%31 W · 36 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd35…c85ebacked Pelicans	63c	158.73$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	73	47.9%35 W · 38 L	-4.7wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf063…a4f2backed Pelicans	35c	157.04$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.54	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0d4…d4f6backed Pelicans	34c	150$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-57.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Pelicans	17c	140$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.3	1,035	1.1%11 W · 1,024 L	-24.4wins	-0.02per pick	3cpaid	-90.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed Pelicans	46c	139.82$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.48	142	33.1%47 W · 95 L	-7.8wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b50…87fbbacked Pelicans	30c	136.52$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.47	64	34.4%22 W · 42 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Hawks	32c	135.74$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.48	723	41.2%298 W · 425 L	+23.0wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab68…1bb1backed Pelicans	30c	135.57$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	159	11.9%19 W · 140 L	-6.2wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-41.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77cf…0e71backed Pelicans	64c	131.29$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.34	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	+138.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89dc…e209backed Hawks	60c	125$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.5	102	43.1%44 W · 58 L	-5.0wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37b9…3390backed Pelicans	57c	109.99$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.69	202	33.7%68 W · 134 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78da…9d47backed Pelicans	46c	108.7$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	68	51.5%35 W · 33 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x637d…2392backed Hawks	39c	102.24$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.37	64	29.7%19 W · 45 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7742…03e9backed Pelicans	38c	100$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	199	39.2%78 W · 121 L	-17.7wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Hawks	39c	100$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61	774	37.5%290 W · 484 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4384…f52fbacked Hawks	38c	99.99$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.99	47	42.6%20 W · 27 L	+5.0wins	+0.11per pick	32cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8140…b92fbacked Hawks	50c	99.36$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.36	91	49.5%45 W · 46 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ac…5984backed Pelicans	49c	94.9$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.5	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb6…7245backed Hawks	35c	81.7$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.11	150	34%51 W · 99 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x732b…85f4backed Pelicans	63c	80$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.4	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	-3.0wins	-0.12per pick	46cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6f1c…5d3fbacked Hawks	39c	79.49$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.49	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c81…1a5cbacked Pelicans	66c	76.06$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	24	66.7%16 W · 8 L	+1.9wins	+0.08per pick	59cpaid	+34.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked Hawks	34c	75.31$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.7	141	29.1%41 W · 100 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xdf7e…d16ebacked Hawks	38c	75.26$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.66	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.3wins	+0.67per pick	33cpaid	+205.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x33be…c239backed Pelicans	67c	74.58$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.97	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Pelicans	63c	73.37$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.92	296	35.8%106 W · 190 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb20…a151backed Hawks	38c	65.62$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.68	42	57.1%24 W · 18 L	+7.0wins	+0.17per pick	40cpaid	+70.3%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0xbccb…a425backed Pelicans	32c	61.9$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.81	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.18per pick	46cpaid	-52.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba19…0f73backed Hawks	38c	58.98$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.57	63	50.8%32 W · 31 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd1d…b57fbacked Hawks	54c	57.69$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.73	121	31.4%38 W · 83 L	-7.6wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x70a0…2c98backed Hawks	69c	55.7$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.3	19	73.7%14 W · 5 L	+2.8wins	+0.15per pick	59cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3c5b…50c9backed Pelicans	31c	54.86$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.01	70	24.3%17 W · 53 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x91c3…9376backed Hawks	52c	46.15$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.15	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.16per pick	44cpaid	+30.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea2d…c4d9backed Hawks	44c	45.45$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.45	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	+2.1wins	+0.09per pick	34cpaid	+191.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd98b…87f2backed Pelicans	64c	44.69$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.6	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.64per pick	64cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8901…5f1cbacked Hawks	57c	43.86$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.86	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.3wins	+0.26per pick	54cpaid	+40.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x75a0…9424backed Hawks	61c	43.11$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.75	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.39per pick	61cpaid	+63.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e34…88b3backed Pelicans	62c	40.32$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.62per pick	62cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea48…3216backed Pelicans	61c	40$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.4	66	42.4%28 W · 38 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ced…49c4backed Hawks	39c	40$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.4	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.61per pick	39cpaid	+156.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb99…5c55backed Pelicans	64c	40$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.45	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.09per pick	62cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f96…7a8abacked Pelicans	64c	40$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.6	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-3.2wins	-0.25per pick	63cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1147…487bbacked Pelicans	63c	39.88$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.13per pick	46cpaid	+28.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d10…6020backed Hawks	53c	39.62$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.62	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+1.9wins	+0.19per pick	51cpaid	+44.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b95…ebe9backed Hawks	38c	39.47$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.47	138	47.8%66 W · 72 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe893…5f92backed Pelicans	63c	38.89$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.5	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.23per pick	63cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x532f…3ae9backed Pelicans	79c	37.97$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-2.6wins	-0.37per pick	51cpaid	-81.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0150…a67abacked Pelicans	57c	35.09$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	+2.2wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2255…b132backed Pelicans	65c	35$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.75	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	63cpaid	-16%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7be…23e0backed Pelicans	50c	35$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd0…5fb0backed Hawks	50c	35$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.5	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+100%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b16…9bc6backed Hawks	38c	35$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.7	42	47.6%20 W · 22 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f7…ac2cbacked Pelicans	62c	32.24$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.99	139	69.1%96 W · 43 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	68cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f46…b84bbacked Pelicans	63c	31.76$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.01	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	-3.1wins	-0.10per pick	57cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2461…a002backed Hawks	38c	31.42$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.42	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+1.7wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5342…0f95backed Hawks	39c	30.77$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.77	25	40%10 W · 15 L	+2.0wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b55…02f8backed Pelicans	59c	30.41$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.84	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+25.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a7e…b9bbbacked Pelicans	64c	30$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.2	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Hawks vs. Pelicans

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market