NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Mavericks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e780e85e1cf8b42ec304aa4cdbd63345641863d222c411310bf8a2d25bc7724
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mavericksof Magic, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,224
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,234
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,224 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Mavericks | 75c | 20,096$15,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,020.3 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x737e…8e9bbacked Magic | 17c | 12,904$2,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,184.03 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Magic | 32c | 5,075$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632.84 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Magic | 37c | 3,253$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.71 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Magic | 31c | 2,978$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceab…bbfabacked Mavericks | 71c | 2,500$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d86…537abacked Magic | 29c | 2,500$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b4…e0febacked Magic | 27c | 2,024$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Mavericks | 71c | 2,000$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.46 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Mavericks | 71c | 1,471$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.28 | 141 | 29.1%41 W · 100 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Mavericks | 70c | 1,400$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.99 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd10…0d30backed Magic | 10c | 1,083$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Magic | 30c | 913.32$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Magic | 2c | 811.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…50c9backed Magic | 23c | 788$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.76 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56bd…ff59backed Magic | 2c | 750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98f3…bf14backed Mavericks | 73c | 699.99$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…fb79backed Mavericks | 71c | 695.01$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.2 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Mavericks | 72c | 670$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.6 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…f59bbacked Mavericks | 74c | 591.73$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.85 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.2wins | -0.30per pick | 52cpaid | -62%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Magic | 28c | 534.5$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.69 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Mavericks | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Mavericks | 68c | 499.99$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Magic | 12c | 440$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.96 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6967…1986backed Mavericks | 72c | 394.44$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.44 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2376…30f5backed Magic | 28c | 387.63$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…94cbbacked Magic | 29c | 379.98$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.19 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…28debacked Mavericks | 70c | 375.81$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Mavericks | 73c | 371.88$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.88 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda67…b950backed Magic | 5c | 371.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb10e…beedbacked Magic | 28c | 360.9$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.05 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Mavericks | 70c | 346.14$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.85 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7742…03e9backed Magic | 17c | 300$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -17.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…4e95backed Magic | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48d3…5d66backed Magic | 24c | 294.23$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.33 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Magic | 8c | 267.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 117 | 19.7%23 W · 94 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…c86dbacked Mavericks | 71c | 257.97$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.81 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…9d76backed Magic | 30c | 230$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x610d…188bbacked Magic | 32c | 190.32$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 186 | 28%52 W · 134 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00fa…30bebacked Magic | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…ad02backed Magic | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f8…5660backed Magic | 17c | 160$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1497…aedebacked Mavericks | 77c | 155.84$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…3390backed Magic | 23c | 149.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0dacbacked Mavericks | 70c | 142.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Mavericks | 75c | 140$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6283…0cf9backed Mavericks | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…b5a0backed Mavericks | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -7.6wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7801…422bbacked Mavericks | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8140…b92fbacked Magic | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ea…3039backed Mavericks | 74c | 116.67$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.67 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -10.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Magic | 24c | 110.1$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.41 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdd…bbb8backed Magic | 28c | 106.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Mavericks | 72c | 105.41$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.51 | 367 | 47.7%175 W · 192 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f2…382bbacked Mavericks | 76c | 105.36$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Magic | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 412 | 27.4%113 W · 299 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Mavericks | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 364 | 49.7%181 W · 183 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4384…f52fbacked Magic | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Magic | 26c | 97.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba19…0f73backed Magic | 28c | 92.96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.64 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…a151backed Mavericks | 69c | 72.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.57 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +7.0wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x51f2…8d23backed Magic | 24c | 70$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf063…a4f2backed Magic | 34c | 70$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c81…1a5cbacked Mavericks | 77c | 65.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33be…c239backed Mavericks | 77c | 64.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.81 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb99…5c55backed Mavericks | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…f940backed Mavericks | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 395 | 48.4%191 W · 204 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa9…39a1backed Magic | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 487 | 41.9%204 W · 283 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe680…8788backed Mavericks | 78c | 49.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.23per pick | 36cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x381d…eba1backed Mavericks | 72c | 46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 64cpaid | +33%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…a002backed Magic | 27c | 44.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f30…52f3backed Mavericks | 70c | 43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4759…ec88backed Mavericks | 72c | 41.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab68…1bb1backed Magic | 30c | 40.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 159 | 11.9%19 W · 140 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x956b…ebb6backed Mavericks | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c64…1d7abacked Magic | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 43cpaid | -58%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x905f…ad6bbacked Magic | 33c | 37.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8778…1ba8backed Mavericks | 72c | 36.54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b16…9bc6backed Magic | 29c | 34.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0150…a67abacked Mavericks | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabbe…cdedbacked Mavericks | 72c | 31.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fc…f344backed Magic | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d90…d769backed Magic | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7e…b9bbbacked Mavericks | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…59f2backed Mavericks | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5acb…e88fbacked Mavericks | 71c | 29.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9372…688bbacked Mavericks | 74c | 28.11$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…e13cbacked Mavericks | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaaf…a2e3backed Mavericks | 76c | 26.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…16ebbacked Mavericks | 70c | 25.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…dc5abacked Mavericks | 70c | 23.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57f6…265fbacked Mavericks | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…e274backed Mavericks | 72c | 19.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad0…508ebacked Mavericks | 71c | 18.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ed…921ebacked Mavericks | 77c | 14.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.29 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74b0…2071backed Mavericks | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -12%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.