Euroleague · resolved market
Euro Basket: Israel vs Slovenia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29f5fd9c54350fdbebbe45b3e141100bac80f166e9762ceec314103b606ae65a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sloveniaof Israel, Slovenia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,199
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,663
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,199 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Israel | 29c | 4,604$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.79 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Slovenia | 48c | 4,000$1,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,083.52 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Israel | 55c | 3,624$1,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,991.13 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Israel | 36c | 3,224$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.43 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Slovenia | 48c | 2,593$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344.04 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Israel | 15c | 2,593$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Slovenia | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Israel | 55c | 1,431$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.39 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Slovenia | 75c | 1,000$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.68 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Israel | 25c | 900$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4a…048ebacked Israel | 56c | 829.99$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.79 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x521b…db60backed Slovenia | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Slovenia | 45c | 761.69$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.61 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Israel | 52c | 678.17$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.77 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Slovenia | 45c | 600$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Slovenia | 47c | 599.36$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.66 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed Israel | 55c | 591.67$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.62 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1119…7d62backed Slovenia | 45c | 564.44$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf763…414fbacked Slovenia | 44c | 562.61$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.06 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +78%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…6cfebacked Slovenia | 42c | 520$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.3 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Israel | 53c | 500.3$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -7.9wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Slovenia | 47c | 484.21$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cdc…7cddbacked Slovenia | 44c | 454.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.54 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Israel | 11c | 445$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.11 | 159 | 8.2%13 W · 146 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Slovenia | 72c | 413.79$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.86 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…c116backed Slovenia | 44c | 405.39$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.82 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.39per pick | 41cpaid | +127%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…8002backed Israel | 58c | 350$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x208f…1050backed Israel | 58c | 350$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Slovenia | 70c | 349.25$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Israel | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84c…2ce2backed Israel | 10c | 311.49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed Israel | 50c | 251.08$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1424…4f78backed Slovenia | 45c | 221.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…c5f2backed Slovenia | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2702…0495backed Israel | 60c | 194$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.16 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac3e…9decbacked Slovenia | 52c | 192.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.69 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…ca3ebacked Slovenia | 48c | 191.46$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Israel | 49c | 145.46$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.84 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a12…e633backed Slovenia | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…998ebacked Israel | 20c | 131.46$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Israel | 20c | 120$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed Israel | 57c | 105$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.35 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2729…e171backed Israel | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…1dbdbacked Slovenia | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a1…6daebacked Slovenia | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1614…ec02backed Slovenia | 45c | 84.7$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.99 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b6…48cabacked Slovenia | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Israel | 57c | 51.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…1d48backed Slovenia | 79c | 50.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd480…799ebacked Slovenia | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…9b0abacked Israel | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…b6f5backed Israel | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Slovenia | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 65cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1654…4f2cbacked Slovenia | 44c | 44.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.81 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaa…9fe4backed Israel | 52c | 43.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Israel | 55c | 43.74$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef4…0293backed Slovenia | 55c | 41.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Slovenia | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1620…f529backed Slovenia | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 22cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed Israel | 53c | 30.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1a…90a2backed Israel | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…8125backed Slovenia | 46c | 28.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +118.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd2…943bbacked Israel | 45c | 24.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb10e…beedbacked Slovenia | 65c | 24.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.