MLB · resolved market
Guardians vs. Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09f57f10f317c869c17b19503e7df96fc6cfaff4677c13ba675f56392bc56ee7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guardiansof Guardians, Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,598
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,887
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,598 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Red Sox | 43c | 15,131$6,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,537.6 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Guardians | 43c | 14,546$6,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,319.17 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Red Sox | 58c | 13,558$7,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,903.61 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Red Sox | 58c | 8,952$5,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,192 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Guardians | 41c | 7,089$2,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,182.8 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Red Sox | 58c | 5,271$3,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,057.18 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc9…56d0backed Guardians | 42c | 5,026$2,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,915.08 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Red Sox | 57c | 4,444$2,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,533.04 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Guardians | 79c | 3,927$3,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.66 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01a…2485backed Red Sox | 58c | 3,720$2,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,157.59 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Guardians | 41c | 3,262$1,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,922.55 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Guardians | 43c | 3,148$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,803.27 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10e…beedbacked Guardians | 52c | 3,100$1,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,492.01 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Guardians | 76c | 3,020$2,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.14 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Guardians | 70c | 2,717$1,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.62 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Guardians | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Guardians | 42c | 1,900$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Red Sox | 58c | 1,865$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.83 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Guardians | 42c | 1,850$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Red Sox | 57c | 1,596$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.64 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06b2…9f35backed Red Sox | 57c | 1,591$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.87 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Guardians | 42c | 1,550$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.99 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Guardians | 55c | 1,481$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.06 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Guardians | 43c | 1,366$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.73 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Guardians | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.47 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f4…55c1backed Red Sox | 16c | 1,127$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.22 | 64 | 17.2%11 W · 53 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Red Sox | 32c | 1,030$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.92 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Guardians | 42c | 1,019$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.02 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Guardians | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Red Sox | 35c | 997.45$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.86 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Guardians | 69c | 944.22$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.54 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8b…23d2backed Red Sox | 59c | 849.44$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.17 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Red Sox | 48c | 817.51$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.4 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Red Sox | 57c | 772.12$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.11 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Red Sox | 19c | 732.78$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.77 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Guardians | 42c | 700$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Red Sox | 57c | 700$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Red Sox | 59c | 699$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.41 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Red Sox | 59c | 600$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b5…41b3backed Red Sox | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Red Sox | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Red Sox | 6c | 600$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Guardians | 42c | 598$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.84 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Red Sox | 2c | 589.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Guardians | 42c | 586.98$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.38 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Guardians | 42c | 574.29$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.09 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Red Sox | 6c | 550$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Guardians | 42c | 542.19$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.47 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Guardians | 42c | 476.18$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf9…88febacked Guardians | 43c | 460$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Guardians | 43c | 450.63$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.86 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Red Sox | 57c | 434.56$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.7 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Guardians | 69c | 432.02$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.53 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Red Sox | 4c | 362.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Red Sox | 59c | 350$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.5 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Guardians | 43c | 350$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.5 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Red Sox | 51c | 347$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.97 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc7…f8f2backed Red Sox | 58c | 340$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Red Sox | 58c | 336$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.88 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x409b…d3dabacked Red Sox | 58c | 251.72$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Red Sox | 57c | 239$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.23 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1888…e1cbbacked Guardians | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2979…59e5backed Guardians | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Red Sox | 57c | 210.53$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b6…97b7backed Red Sox | 59c | 203.39$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Red Sox | 57c | 196.49$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Red Sox | 57c | 192.98$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Red Sox | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Red Sox | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2000…df78backed Red Sox | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Red Sox | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Guardians | 50c | 167.46$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.96 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Red Sox | 58c | 150$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Guardians | 42c | 148.78$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.98 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Red Sox | 12c | 148.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed Red Sox | 58c | 138$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.04 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Guardians | 43c | 136.79$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.97 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Guardians | 42c | 132.88$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.07 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x307e…2a3ebacked Red Sox | 58c | 120$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a03…47c1backed Red Sox | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd4…6862backed Red Sox | 59c | 100.63$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.14 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…85b2backed Red Sox | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Red Sox | 42c | 99.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.66 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Red Sox | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x900b…34bcbacked Red Sox | 59c | 72.88$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Red Sox | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Guardians | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Guardians | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Red Sox | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…b3e8backed Guardians | 41c | 49.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.49 | 291 | 45.4%132 W · 159 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Guardians | 41c | 49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf62…227dbacked Guardians | 44c | 48.91$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.39 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a66…5b12backed Guardians | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac1…5f0fbacked Guardians | 42c | 45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 342 | 57.6%197 W · 145 L | +25.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75b2…8d2ebacked Red Sox | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Guardians | 55c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae7…9836backed Guardians | 42c | 35.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5284…27f5backed Red Sox | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c3…766cbacked Red Sox | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa98d…0b0ebacked Red Sox | 58c | 33.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Guardians vs. Red Soxthis page
- Guardians vs. Red Sox: O/U 8.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.