MLB · resolved market
Yankees vs. Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8fcc65466e4600cd4a40488ff7478681bb3ac4f8aef2c277a239c39509a199dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yankeesof Yankees, Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $154,551
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $167,357
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,551 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 467 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yankees | 65c | 17,247$11,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,097.97 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Astros | 44c | 14,205$6,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,250 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Yankees | 56c | 11,163$6,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,911.7 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Astros | 23c | 7,435$1,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,687.79 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Astros | 51c | 5,280$2,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,692.93 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Astros | 6c | 4,240$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.91 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Astros | 30c | 3,273$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Astros | 43c | 2,701$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.41 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Yankees | 56c | 2,500$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.99 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Yankees | 56c | 2,222$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.67 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671c…46fbbacked Astros | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Astros | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.98 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Astros | 44c | 1,929$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.74 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Yankees | 69c | 1,895$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.37 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Astros | 22c | 1,737$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.65 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yankees | 57c | 1,557$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.25 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10e…beedbacked Astros | 27c | 1,404$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.9 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb37c…164ebacked Astros | 43c | 1,220$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.6 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Astros | 21c | 1,201$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.28 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed Astros | 43c | 1,140$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.2 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Astros | 33c | 1,072$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x311f…70fbbacked Yankees | 56c | 1,071$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.24 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Yankees | 56c | 1,067$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.64 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Astros | 1c | 1,036$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Astros | 44c | 999.97$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.99 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Astros | 43c | 999.96$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.98 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe168…0f95backed Yankees | 56c | 928.97$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Astros | 43c | 800$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Astros | 43c | 780.98$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.82 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Astros | 2c | 733.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Yankees | 56c | 699.96$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.98 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Astros | 45c | 666$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.7 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Astros | 45c | 648$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.6 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yankees | 55c | 546$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.7 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Astros | 15c | 545.44$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.83 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaea…a2b4backed Yankees | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…1dbdbacked Yankees | 57c | 498.25$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.25 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Astros | 3c | 450$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Yankees | 50c | 426.98$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.26 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36e3…5e25backed Astros | 44c | 413.34$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.87 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +30%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Astros | 44c | 400$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yankees | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Astros | 44c | 399.96$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.98 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Astros | 45c | 364.93$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.22 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yankees | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…f010backed Yankees | 55c | 356.6$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.47 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Yankees | 56c | 354$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.76 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe708…e61cbacked Astros | 48c | 353.29$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe980…75e1backed Yankees | 57c | 351.23$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.03 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Yankees | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Astros | 43c | 348$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.64 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Astros | 40c | 346.92$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.88 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Astros | 12c | 342.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.49 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab9…4669backed Yankees | 57c | 341.02$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.64 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…9a96backed Astros | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Astros | 12c | 320.52$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.51 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Yankees | 57c | 280.7$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.7 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6f…56ecbacked Yankees | 64c | 265.29$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.29 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…4768backed Yankees | 57c | 253.81$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.14 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Astros | 45c | 249.6$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.32 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Astros | 45c | 240.89$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.4 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Astros | 44c | 234.41$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.14 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b6…97b7backed Astros | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1148…dc44backed Yankees | 57c | 222.81$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.81 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Yankees | 56c | 214.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.29 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Astros | 25c | 209.43$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.05 | 331 | 37.5%124 W · 207 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3545…741dbacked Astros | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd0…7efcbacked Astros | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x245f…b6d7backed Astros | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e40…4efabacked Astros | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…e142backed Yankees | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8381…ebcfbacked Astros | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7620…b9eabacked Yankees | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7623…565dbacked Astros | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…78e3backed Yankees | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac5…3536backed Astros | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44d3…6f65backed Astros | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x247e…3a07backed Astros | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e2…5daebacked Astros | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5b…02fabacked Astros | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d07…3068backed Astros | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8f…963ebacked Astros | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x093b…e84cbacked Astros | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cca…6c96backed Astros | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed1…d738backed Astros | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61a6…835abacked Astros | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee96…55e1backed Astros | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8981…f8bdbacked Astros | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf15e…23e4backed Yankees | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31b1…9335backed Yankees | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6b…122dbacked Yankees | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c32…7ff0backed Yankees | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc815…d9d0backed Yankees | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c7…c60fbacked Astros | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7164…f463backed Yankees | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa308…46aebacked Yankees | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc26…1430backed Yankees | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…5b89backed Astros | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3161…661fbacked Yankees | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb571…fdfabacked Astros | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Yankees vs. Astrosthis page
- Spread: Yankees (-1.5)Yankees won
- Yankees vs. Astros: O/U 8.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.