NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Rockets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8a626dadf81aa88c4e9260e1d877fc2ab3ff9115fad0a5d5bd5b376bc233fe3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Spurs, Rockets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,586
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,721
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,586 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Rockets | 77c | 3,062$2,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.68 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Rockets | 70c | 2,687$1,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.28 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Rockets | 71c | 2,200$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.1 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Spurs | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.99 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Spurs | 2c | 1,248$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked Rockets | 67c | 900$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked Spurs | 33c | 900$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b4…e0febacked Spurs | 30c | 833.33$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb6…7245backed Spurs | 31c | 807.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 150 | 34%51 W · 99 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Spurs | 10c | 800$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Spurs | 14c | 750$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 164 | 43.3%71 W · 93 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Spurs | 32c | 722.05$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.93 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Spurs | 18c | 400$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa551…4345backed Spurs | 30c | 395$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Spurs | 6c | 340$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 117 | 19.7%23 W · 94 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0026…cd66backed Spurs | 16c | 321.59$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 114 | 28.1%32 W · 82 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3a…16fbbacked Rockets | 69c | 249.95$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.48 | 178 | 46.1%82 W · 96 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Spurs | 28c | 208.49$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.38 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Spurs | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 136 | 11.8%16 W · 120 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…28debacked Rockets | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…f625backed Spurs | 32c | 167.28$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.53 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x603a…fc8bbacked Spurs | 30c | 166.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8025…ef54backed Spurs | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf2…b7bcbacked Spurs | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Spurs | 31c | 150$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.1 | 183 | 16.9%31 W · 152 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…3390backed Spurs | 26c | 149.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb10e…beedbacked Spurs | 30c | 140$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e3…21d5backed Rockets | 70c | 139.33$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6c…0ababacked Rockets | 72c | 138.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.76 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Spurs | 29c | 125.09$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.92 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2b…b10cbacked Spurs | 30c | 107.51$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…d68fbacked Rockets | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ac…2790backed Spurs | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4384…f52fbacked Spurs | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…f6febacked Spurs | 29c | 99.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3080…6b8ebacked Spurs | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6d…6632backed Rockets | 73c | 78.96$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.52 | 68 | 69.1%47 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7405…2797backed Spurs | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x173b…8c0dbacked Rockets | 73c | 68.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6b…7b67backed Rockets | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34b5…de56backed Spurs | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb90d…7db5backed Spurs | 32c | 64.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 309 | 54%167 W · 142 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82c6…23ddbacked Rockets | 73c | 61.86$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.84 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x610d…188bbacked Spurs | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 186 | 28%52 W · 134 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x778c…87f4backed Spurs | 31c | 58.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Spurs | 30c | 53.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02c2…5170backed Spurs | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa520…27b4backed Spurs | 31c | 45.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51f2…8d23backed Spurs | 27c | 44.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1497…aedebacked Spurs | 34c | 44.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68ad…06d0backed Rockets | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae6f…7399backed Rockets | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Rockets | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a4…7770backed Rockets | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2c…411dbacked Rockets | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.