TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Spurs win on 2024-11-03?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$68,257
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$71,966

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,257 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6761…a94fbacked Yes48c20,934$10,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,821.8410650%53 W · 53 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9eb2…c8bfbacked No52c20,368$10,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,588.22433.3%8 W · 16 L-5.1wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-43.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Yes44c5,203$2,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,932.969361.3%57 W · 36 L+7.7wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed No66c5,000$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,30019652%102 W · 94 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes50c4,499$2,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,249.9222744.5%101 W · 126 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50032158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed No0c2,742$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3825329.2%74 W · 179 L+11.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No51c2,500$1,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,284.9968026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72e8…687ebacked Yes50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7502100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Yes58c1,398$808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.7837841.8%158 W · 220 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…742dbacked No55c1,216$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.753148.4%15 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick60cpaid-25.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed No50c1,040$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.115337.3%57 W · 96 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked No49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4908145.7%37 W · 44 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50034643.9%152 W · 194 L-14.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb20…a151backed Yes50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5005742.1%24 W · 33 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid+24.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a6b…1a3ebacked No49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb10e…beedbacked Yes50c998.17$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.09560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick34cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.399238%35 W · 57 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b6a…4873backed Yes51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.392548%12 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0124…2feabacked No50c959.18$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.59333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes44c759.15$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.2544939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe424…8874backed Yes51c753.06$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3694100%4 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.67per pick34cpaid+230.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x02cb…ae38backed No50c699.99$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34815554.8%85 W · 70 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec5a…b299backed Yes50c640.06$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.33450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cb6…15cdbacked No50c593$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.52755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes44c570.83$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.8818433.7%62 W · 122 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf92…7e3fbacked No51c560$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.6850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x95cc…7f08backed No50c557.16$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.583650%18 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cd3…3c5abacked Yes50c551.69$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.981838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x451b…57d8backed Yes53c546.49$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.49728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-41.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x476b…8a58backed Yes50c520.57$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.293151.6%16 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8140…b92fbacked Yes49c511.24$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.583748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd968…bd18backed No50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-41%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf6cb…9c0abacked Yes45c462.46$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No50c460.57$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.2940046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c54…da75backed No49c431.62$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.492429.2%7 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-44.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8ec9…cdd9backed No50c407.1$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.55250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01ba…1857backed No52c400.04$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.0220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbd6…162bbacked No51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…c72abacked Yes50c345.62$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.812100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+373%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xae1c…2bc3backed Yes52c339.37$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.92100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x97cb…9efcbacked Yes50c327.86$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.93728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-38.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8d7…5f55backed Yes49c318.02$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.192100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+71.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27a6…9879backed Yes52c310.6$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.092100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+58.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1820…e3f7backed Yes51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1473951.3%20 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x45ab…e594backed Yes51c273.06$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeed…074bbacked Yes51c250$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.59943.4%43 W · 56 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66bf…f6b5backed Yes28c242.76$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.79250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Yes50c230.83$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.5318232.4%59 W · 123 L-15.9wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-23.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x89dc…e209backed Yes51c229.61$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.31540%6 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13a6…ee95backed No47c205.72$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.285554.5%30 W · 25 L+6.9wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+32.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed No50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005550.9%28 W · 27 L-6.5wins-0.12per pick63cpaid-17.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7990…c870backed No50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004042.5%17 W · 23 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a51…f6d4backed Yes52c197.92$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaafb…3027backed No51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-55.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7801…422bbacked Yes51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.082035%7 W · 13 L-4.2wins-0.21per pick56cpaid-43.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7adc…7603backed Yes52c192.4$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.4540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x484a…7ca9backed Yes52c190.85$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.39250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3115…83f4backed Yes51c190.25$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.22475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+79.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x350b…20cebacked No51c190.23$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca95…fc40backed No49c189.22$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.723551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32b2…841cbacked No71c186.11$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.142725.9%7 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f77…5ab3backed No50c184$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+39.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a77…48febacked Yes51c176.47$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.472100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99ea…5b6dbacked No51c176.47$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8aa6…c86dbacked Yes51c154.94$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.44450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2951…8f9fbacked No57c140.35$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1266…cd8cbacked No49c133.53$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.4314450.7%73 W · 71 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x555c…ee28backed No50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605851.7%30 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3258…9e52backed No74c108.37$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.931323.1%3 W · 10 L-4.1wins-0.31per pick54cpaid-57.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Yes52c107.69$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.1911353.1%60 W · 53 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No39c105$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0337652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x07f6…2ed5backed Yes29c103.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.457825.6%20 W · 58 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Yes48c100.03$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.025653.6%30 W · 26 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+53.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5015636.5%57 W · 99 L-11.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ee3…10fdbacked No54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54540%2 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick69cpaid-40.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3fa3…dc66backed Yes46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe35e…5921backed No49c99.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.991526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c81…1a5cbacked Yes51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.041338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ce8…2b62backed Yes52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1604…21b6backed Yes52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.15933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-47.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee67…a563backed Yes50c90.18$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.09520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-60%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37b9…3390backed Yes49c80$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.82231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick36cpaid+0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4630…a058backed No50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406258.1%36 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f46…b84bbacked Yes27c74.87$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.871020%2 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-49.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4e07…480abacked Yes51c68.55$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.59450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8523…2a09backed Yes51c68.1$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes44c61$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0311915.1%18 W · 101 L-10.4wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc0c8…8703backed No49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No55c57.66$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7169772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc82c…89a1backed Yes53c53.89$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.33862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6321…aeb6backed Yes51c52.73$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.842100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+63.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dc7…fa27backed No75c50.32$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7420%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b55…02f8backed No43c50.29$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.613652.2%71 W · 65 L+10.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x565b…fa9bbacked Yes51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.52268.2%15 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick66cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.532736.4%119 W · 208 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1ac7…8deebacked Yes52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241450%7 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb11…e93fbacked No52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264637%17 W · 29 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-27.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2534251.8%177 W · 165 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e40…e7f1backed Yes50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.