Premier League · resolved market
Will Villa win on 2024-11-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe93ddc043c89be097da98424a93e5ba2f4b2222a5b8b499aac3501dbffc995a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,895
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,955
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,895 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd2fd…541dbacked Yes | 28c | 5,712$1,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.47 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 35cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked No | 73c | 2,477$1,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.8 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b6a…4873backed No | 56c | 2,250$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…7f08backed Yes | 44c | 2,150$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.05 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc0…53ddbacked Yes | 28c | 1,875$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 29c | 1,785$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.01 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 72c | 1,500$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.99 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 72c | 1,370$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.48 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6454…5560backed Yes | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 71c | 948.26$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.19 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed No | 72c | 939.91$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.95 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…0bbfbacked Yes | 25c | 866.69$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.56 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a6…ee95backed No | 53c | 856.31$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.41 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3b94…8183backed No | 75c | 714.31$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.58 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07f6…2ed5backed Yes | 16c | 625.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 25.6%20 W · 58 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17de…8b83backed Yes | 25c | 599.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Yes | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 25c | 563.56$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.89 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9595…1b16backed Yes | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 75c | 488$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x487f…30babacked Yes | 26c | 444$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.44 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +40%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf64…7e54backed No | 74c | 444$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.44 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98f3…bf14backed No | 74c | 415.73$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63f3…9c5fbacked Yes | 25c | 385.5$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…32d0backed No | 71c | 343.21$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.53 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +10.6wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed No | 75c | 210$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 182 | 60.4%110 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c64…1d7abacked No | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fff…10d5backed Yes | 27c | 200$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d7…5f55backed No | 72c | 199.94$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0db…56d5backed No | 75c | 198.69$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.69 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f90…38e7backed Yes | 28c | 196.43$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 73c | 184.36$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.45 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d86…537abacked No | 74c | 184$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x859b…f48bbacked Yes | 28c | 179.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…2b62backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x509f…8fb7backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…28fabacked Yes | 28c | 175.8$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.49 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -45%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e11…ae62backed Yes | 26c | 154.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…6677backed Yes | 36c | 139.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.20per pick | 31cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c43…b289backed Yes | 18c | 130.34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.51 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12e1…51f6backed Yes | 10c | 119.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc372…00aabacked Yes | 26c | 114.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 66c | 106.2$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x716a…f6cfbacked Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…f6b5backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x501a…d46dbacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -5.0wins | -0.26per pick | 53cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6746…2093backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f8…5660backed Yes | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f1…f229backed No | 76c | 92.11$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Yes | 24c | 84.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5342…0f95backed Yes | 29c | 82.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x637d…2392backed Yes | 26c | 81.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -38%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3080…6b8ebacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7d…4c8dbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Yes | 50c | 67.71$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.53 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b9…8069backed No | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 27c | 67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 292 | 38.4%112 W · 180 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf811…c162backed Yes | 28c | 64.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…d004backed No | 70c | 63.98$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.26 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 73cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc7…fa27backed Yes | 49c | 56.37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f96…a645backed Yes | 33c | 56.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.39per pick | 51cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…a563backed Yes | 45c | 55.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91c2…8987backed No | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 68cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51f2…8d23backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +460.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 34c | 49.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd6…4e24backed No | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf489…7ef8backed No | 75c | 25.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…7aa4backed No | 75c | 23.56$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x467c…b168backed Yes | 50c | 21.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26a4…687abacked No | 65c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 69c | 19.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad6…3c44backed No | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Villa win on 2024-11-03?this page
- Will Spurs vs. Villa end in a draw?No won
- Will Spurs win on 2024-11-03?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.