MLB · resolved market
Phillies vs. Brewers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48f5418b1980df94356366d22885836edb2c522fee0bbe0433e5a9d0eb757024
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philliesof Phillies, Brewers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,002,930
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,263,922
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,002,930 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 576 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Phillies | 48c | 207,753$100,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107,703.83 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Brewers | 52c | 179,181$92,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92,913.38 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Brewers | 56c | 122,696$68,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,974.84 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Phillies | 78c | 57,639$45,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,493.66 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Phillies | 44c | 49,295$21,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,850.56 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Brewers | 50c | 36,711$18,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,252.77 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Phillies | 43c | 33,829$14,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,155.52 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Phillies | 46c | 26,901$12,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,568.81 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Brewers | 52c | 20,378$10,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,616.2 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Brewers | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,599.99 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Phillies | 45c | 20,000$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,999.98 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Phillies | 47c | 19,771$9,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,538.95 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Phillies | 47c | 18,800$8,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,963.98 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…46a3backed Phillies | 52c | 17,775$9,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,474.82 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -16.4wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Phillies | 49c | 17,731$8,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,000.59 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccdb…ffa9backed Brewers | 54c | 17,593$9,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,500 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 62cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Phillies | 47c | 14,458$6,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,696.26 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Phillies | 46c | 13,043$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,043.48 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Brewers | 53c | 10,498$5,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,550.04 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Brewers | 52c | 10,066$5,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,234.07 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Phillies | 47c | 7,114$3,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,784.65 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Brewers | 33c | 6,624$2,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,164.67 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Brewers | 57c | 6,292$3,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,577.1 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…f010backed Brewers | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,180 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Phillies | 46c | 5,937$2,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,185.89 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Phillies | 56c | 5,574$3,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,433.87 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Brewers | 52c | 5,375$2,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,812.75 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb10e…beedbacked Phillies | 47c | 5,085$2,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,701.89 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Brewers | 51c | 4,502$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.66 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c4…6ea5backed Brewers | 54c | 4,450$2,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,402.99 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Phillies | 49c | 4,156$2,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,119.56 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Brewers | 50c | 4,085$2,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,061.12 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Phillies | 43c | 3,561$1,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,019.17 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Brewers | 52c | 3,325$1,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,729 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8b…23d2backed Brewers | 53c | 3,022$1,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,601.46 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Phillies | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Brewers | 52c | 2,913$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,514.51 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Phillies | 43c | 2,808$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,602.67 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Brewers | 54c | 2,772$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Phillies | 46c | 2,754$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.06 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…ddd7backed Phillies | 48c | 2,689$1,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.28 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Brewers | 39c | 2,302$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.77 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Phillies | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa67f…35a4backed Phillies | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Phillies | 56c | 1,988$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.64 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…0ee8backed Brewers | 54c | 1,830$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Phillies | 45c | 1,793$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.35 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0abf…e18bbacked Brewers | 54c | 1,598$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.92 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Phillies | 59c | 1,569$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.94 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Brewers | 52c | 1,534$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.46 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Phillies | 46c | 1,512$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.41 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc2b…9c41backed Phillies | 46c | 1,348$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Brewers | 54c | 1,344$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.6 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Phillies | 46c | 1,342$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.65 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5383…cb45backed Phillies | 69c | 1,220$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.11 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Brewers | 56c | 1,199$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.4 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Brewers | 50c | 1,132$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.85 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc352…51e3backed Phillies | 47c | 1,129$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.22 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc06d…6670backed Phillies | 46c | 1,113$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.02 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0814…1f30backed Phillies | 46c | 1,113$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.02 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa737…e0a5backed Brewers | 54c | 1,110$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9f…ee40backed Brewers | 54c | 1,109$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.86 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Phillies | 51c | 1,100$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.77 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3572…38a9backed Brewers | 54c | 1,091$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.14 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14fe…910cbacked Brewers | 54c | 1,090$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a98…3984backed Phillies | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57e8…0bdbbacked Phillies | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.98 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Brewers | 54c | 1,080$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.2 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf19f…9084backed Phillies | 46c | 1,043$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…c525backed Brewers | 54c | 1,037$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.98 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Brewers | 52c | 1,030$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.68 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Brewers | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Brewers | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Phillies | 54c | 985.13$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Phillies | 51c | 983.54$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.15 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb37c…164ebacked Phillies | 45c | 969$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.95 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa09d…4ee0backed Brewers | 54c | 963$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.02 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13ec…a343backed Brewers | 55c | 910$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.55 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 46cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Phillies | 44c | 873.77$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.05 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…c116backed Phillies | 47c | 865.91$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.93 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Phillies | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.06 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3545…741dbacked Brewers | 12c | 844.08$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.29 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Phillies | 45c | 800$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b63…d2cfbacked Brewers | 54c | 788.67$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2979…59e5backed Phillies | 49c | 760.88$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Phillies | 46c | 726$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.46 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Phillies | 48c | 699.99$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.99 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Phillies | 46c | 651.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.08 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Brewers | 16c | 651.63$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.69 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Brewers | 53c | 648.81$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.45 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Phillies | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Brewers | 57c | 599.75$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.76 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Phillies | 44c | 598.41$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.11 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x259b…45f6backed Phillies | 46c | 555$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.7 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x257d…aac8backed Brewers | 34c | 549.53$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Brewers | 54c | 530$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.1 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Brewers | 54c | 525.4$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.72 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Phillies | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f9…3a36backed Phillies | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Phillies | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.5 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Phillies vs. Brewersthis page
- Phillies vs. Brewers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Brewers (-1.5)Phillies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.