Bundesliga · resolved market
Hamburger SV vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf524a9eeedf29d525a2f73901b12ff596cfdcb63a6e0d1e36313ef03eac18f6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,220
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,835
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,220 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 6,176$3,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,829.11 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…70d4backed Under | 55c | 3,347$1,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,502.97 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Over | 45c | 3,223$1,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450.5 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over | 45c | 2,995$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.71 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 48c | 2,808$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465.89 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 55c | 2,730$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.13 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 44c | 1,384$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.17 | 435 | 32.2%140 W · 295 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 56c | 1,212$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.18 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Over | 44c | 1,100$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…a96fbacked Under | 56c | 973.6$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 55c | 909$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.05 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 63c | 879.26$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.29 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 67c | 730.1$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.55 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 45c | 536.69$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.51 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +7.6wins | +0.22per pick | 31cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 51c | 514.96$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.88 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 41c | 470.54$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.92 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 43c | 381.38$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.99 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 49c | 346.89$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.97 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e3…c8dcbacked Over | 45c | 343.82$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.72 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecc9…4df4backed Under | 57c | 341.82$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae2…6ca6backed Under | 52c | 327.29$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 44c | 294$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.82 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 72c | 276.3$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.94 | 164 | 64%105 W · 59 L | +28.5wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 48c | 272.31$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.97 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 56c | 237$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.28 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 50c | 230.86$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.43 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d25…5529backed Under | 36c | 227.04$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 43c | 211$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.56 | 82 | 24.4%20 W · 62 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8796…c744backed Over | 36c | 205$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.8 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 67c | 197.97$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.42 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…f240backed Over | 42c | 196.68$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8582…959fbacked Over | 61c | 160.1$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.66 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +53%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 45c | 152.39$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.03 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 55c | 151.05$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.97 | 264 | 45.5%120 W · 144 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed Under | 35c | 132.4$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.06 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd876…4c8bbacked Over | 9c | 115.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 21cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 41c | 112.58$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.24 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ba…0bc3backed Over | 18c | 111.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 36cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 72c | 110.92$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.32 | 125 | 60.8%76 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd53c…5194backed Over | 19c | 109.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 45c | 107.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +6.5wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc2af…3880backed Over | 49c | 104.52$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.66 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 57c | 102.33$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.48 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 55c | 97.27$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.77 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff89…9c06backed Over | 45c | 86.69$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.01 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc92d…9691backed Over | 61c | 85$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.85 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 53c | 61.12$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.45 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Under | 55c | 61$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.45 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Under | 57c | 59.82$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.72 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba97…716bbacked Over | 50c | 58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 60c | 56.93$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 120 | 69.2%83 W · 37 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x619e…0149backed Under | 27c | 56.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.66 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 55c | 55.58$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 45c | 55.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Under | 44c | 52.29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.36 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Under | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 52c | 43.2$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 206 | 45.6%94 W · 112 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 46c | 42.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 207 | 53.6%111 W · 96 L | +22.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 42c | 40.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…e84dbacked Over | 70c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 71c | 35.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 395 | 58.7%232 W · 163 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Over | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Over | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeedf…1483backed Over | 43c | 31.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Over | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf479…0fe3backed Over | 49c | 29.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f96…e7f0backed Under | 67c | 29.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 46cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 57c | 28.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Under | 56c | 27.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a98…3f93backed Over | 55c | 26.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 50c | 26.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1956…1ef8backed Under | 56c | 26.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Over | 80c | 24.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 54c | 24.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…bb76backed Over | 51c | 22.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 57c | 22.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45cf…0f46backed Over | 47c | 21.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…aea3backed Over | 49c | 21.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a63…fe88backed Over | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 58c | 19.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…b4afbacked Under | 55c | 18.31$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Under | 63c | 16.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hamburger SV vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5this page
- Hamburger SV vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Hamburger SV vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 1.5Over won
- Hamburger SV vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 2.5Over won
- Hamburger SV vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Hamburger SV (-1.5)TSG 1899 Hoffenheim won
- Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-1.5)Hamburger SV won
- Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-2.5)Hamburger SV won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.