La Liga · resolved market
Valencia CF vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b58782dc933ae4b06136bd29cf2165dea4fdcf5617dbb39e1944c13d30bb3cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,366
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,720
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,366 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 19c | 4,102$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,319.12 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…d7babacked Over | 25c | 4,060$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,057.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 34c | 3,360$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,201.2 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Over | 48c | 3,000$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,546.31 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 66c | 2,815$1,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,868.92 | 828 | 44.8%371 W · 457 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 23c | 2,798$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,145.55 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a91…c6b1backed Under | 51c | 2,369$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.38 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Under | 51c | 1,869$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.09 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 66c | 1,491$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.72 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Over | 48c | 1,407$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.59 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9d…92ddbacked Under | 1c | 1,129$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 5cpaid | +283.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 52c | 1,102$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.01 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 49c | 1,049$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.41 | 1,169 | 51.8%606 W · 563 L | +18.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 1c | 934.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 53 | 3.8%2 W · 51 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Over | 40c | 843.88$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.48 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 49c | 741.59$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.21 | 502 | 49.6%249 W · 253 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 68c | 646.17$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.4 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 51c | 599.99$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.99 | 637 | 57.1%364 W · 273 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Under | 52c | 480$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Under | 40c | 404.88$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.95 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Under | 52c | 362.79$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.65 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 693 | 50.9%353 W · 340 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x016c…df21backed Over | 28c | 300$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 42cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3b…7928backed Over | 48c | 299.04$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Under | 6c | 296$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 118 | 19.5%23 W · 95 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 36c | 260.49$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.83 | 1,651 | 43.9%724 W · 927 L | -21.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8337…9aacbacked Over | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c88…5463backed Over | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Over | 32c | 199.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.99 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 229 | 39.3%90 W · 139 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee43…ae9dbacked Over | 49c | 191.9$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.87 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 6c | 177.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 44 | 2.3%1 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f61…f56fbacked Over | 14c | 174.24$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.85 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +113%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 49c | 168.33$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.85 | 1,497 | 38.6%578 W · 919 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…ab9fbacked Over | 33c | 143.97$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.46 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Under | 53c | 122.85$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.11 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 52c | 121.29$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.07 | 452 | 50.2%227 W · 225 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 49c | 101.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.68 | 239 | 57.7%138 W · 101 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 48c | 100.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 43c | 96.58$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.05 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Over | 48c | 60.55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 31c | 58.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.29 | 615 | 57.7%355 W · 260 L | +41.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Over | 49c | 58.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.66 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 49c | 56.3$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 680 | 50.4%343 W · 337 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 47c | 56.03$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 2,339 | 48.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f46…1db8backed Under | 65c | 45.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x619e…0149backed Under | 66c | 44.53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdba8…5d91backed Under | 52c | 42.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Over | 27c | 42.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.02 | 170 | 36.5%62 W · 108 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8c…880abacked Over | 48c | 40.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed Over | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 69 | 68.1%47 W · 22 L | +10.1wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 39c | 34.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 836 | 40%334 W · 502 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 31c | 34.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fe…1cfdbacked Under | 52c | 29.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Under | 53c | 29.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Over | 49c | 26.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed Under | 62c | 23.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 52c | 19.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.4wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Under | 59c | 19.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 54c | 19.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 77c | 17.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valencia CF vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Girona FC (-2.5)Valencia CF won
- Spread: Valencia CF (-1.5)Girona FC won
- Valencia CF vs. Girona FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Valencia CF vs. Girona FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Valencia CF vs. Girona FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Valencia CF vs. Girona FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.