La Liga · resolved market
Valencia CF vs. Girona FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8d1618eb434b0175fa3637a695a9c52936a4a693e7ae87d877a6bb351819367
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,939
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,602
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,939 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Over | 2c | 4,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 57c | 1,645$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.74 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 14c | 1,499$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.86 | 104 | 18.3%19 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc294…570ebacked Over | 51c | 1,332$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.42 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 55c | 1,293$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.84 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa566…72debacked Over | 21c | 680.65$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.89 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc68a…07f0backed Under | 75c | 591$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.75 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46ee…bb0abacked Under | 41c | 538.07$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 65c | 532.82$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.33 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 65c | 519.26$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.52 | 124 | 70.2%87 W · 37 L | +30.3wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +70%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xc385…8eb0backed Over | 58c | 410.09$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.85 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 25c | 319.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 27c | 188.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.12 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 14c | 160.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ff…35ccbacked Over | 24c | 118.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 27c | 88.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd53c…5194backed Over | 18c | 79.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Over | 33c | 70.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3373…3716backed Over | 64c | 68.45$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.04 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Under | 51c | 66.98$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed Over | 34c | 50.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 454 | 50%227 W · 227 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Over | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 116 | 64.7%75 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Over | 45c | 49.42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 75c | 49.25$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 174 | 55.2%96 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 65c | 46.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 60c | 45.92$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.16 | 240 | 48.3%116 W · 124 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Under | 37c | 41.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 118 | 19.5%23 W · 95 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Under | 72c | 33.64$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…b4afbacked Under | 74c | 28.63$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…c927backed Over | 55c | 26.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed Over | 60c | 24.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…bb76backed Over | 46c | 21.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Under | 74c | 19.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | -9.0wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valencia CF vs. Girona FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Girona FC (-2.5)Valencia CF won
- Spread: Valencia CF (-1.5)Girona FC won
- Valencia CF vs. Girona FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Valencia CF vs. Girona FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Valencia CF vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Valencia CF vs. Girona FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.