Ligue 1 · resolved market
FC Lorient vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ac633bc4153f7c3c89925c8d26d2809808ea6cd35c5290255c822068739c902
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,452
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,588
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,452 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3234…8b1abacked Under | 62c | 8,194$5,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,088.93 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 44c | 3,199$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,789.42 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Over | 33c | 1,745$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.21 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 51c | 1,367$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.89 | 243 | 49.4%120 W · 123 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 38c | 1,316$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.7 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 45c | 999.99$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc68a…07f0backed Under | 66c | 739.25$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Over | 40c | 658.43$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.27 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 55c | 615.24$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.59 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 42c | 563.42$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.24 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…2935backed Under | 61c | 453.08$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.38 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 75c | 315.2$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.4 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 55c | 301.46$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.07 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 67c | 300.63$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.42 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 33c | 287.94$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.92 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 37c | 240.55$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.55 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d4…8c7fbacked Under | 37c | 240.05$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d25…5529backed Under | 59c | 232.84$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 42c | 212.12$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.43 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65ca…41ddbacked Under | 74c | 204.68$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8582…959fbacked Over | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf91c…baa7backed Over | 38c | 191.76$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 55c | 170.47$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.71 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4920…2ef4backed Under | 74c | 133.03$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…04aebacked Under | 75c | 131.33$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Over | 47c | 117.21$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.02 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 39c | 113.97$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.9 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b7…48d4backed Over | 49c | 107.31$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 75c | 107.29$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.65 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 29c | 103.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.32 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 35c | 88.4$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.58 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 38c | 87.67$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.7 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…c154backed Under | 71c | 69.2$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.13 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 45c | 68.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.84 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Over | 44c | 65.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 35c | 58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.94 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Over | 37c | 56.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.57 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 34cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Over | 67c | 56.85$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f96…e7f0backed Over | 35c | 54.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…bb76backed Over | 29c | 54.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +104%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Over | 39c | 49.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 54c | 49.08$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…6ef0backed Under | 74c | 48.28$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.72 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 55c | 46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 26c | 45.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.43 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +10.6wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Under | 66c | 44.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.38 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Over | 60c | 43.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 67c | 43.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 183 | 51.4%94 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…ff41backed Over | 28c | 43.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +143.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 48c | 40.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.97 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 34c | 39.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Over | 43c | 38.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.95 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Under | 32c | 38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Over | 40c | 36.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +50%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 55c | 34.83$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 188 | 47.9%90 W · 98 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…56e5backed Over | 58c | 34.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.46 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90e…107abacked Under | 68c | 31.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 42c | 31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x361d…72b7backed Under | 74c | 30.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x619e…0149backed Under | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over | 70c | 29.77$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 69c | 28.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf92e…d539backed Under | 70c | 28.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e69…2650backed Under | 75c | 27.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Over | 41c | 26.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e35…ee1abacked Under | 75c | 26.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 62c | 24.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 263 | 46.4%122 W · 141 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f02…8af6backed Under | 60c | 24.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 53c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed Under | 62c | 23.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed Over | 62c | 23.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55da…e99abacked Under | 71c | 20.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 64c | 20.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de7…61c0backed Over | 59c | 17.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 76c | 16.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Lorient vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 3.5this page
- FC Lorient vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Lorient vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Lorient vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Lorient vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: FC Lorient (-1.5)RC Strasbourg Alsace won
- Spread: FC Lorient (-2.5)RC Strasbourg Alsace won
- Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-1.5)FC Lorient won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.