Ligue 1 · resolved market
Spread: FC Lorient (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1a5031a76d16417069bdb78655e116c3a765920b766c4e2467970e9df90f32c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- RC Strasbourg Alsaceof FC Lorient, RC Strasbourg Alsace
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,870
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,022
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,870 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 79c | 4,948$3,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.4 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed FC Lorient | 21c | 2,704$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.89 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed FC Lorient | 20c | 2,451$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.37 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 79c | 1,557$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 68c | 1,092$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.42 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed FC Lorient | 20c | 1,048$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.15 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked FC Lorient | 21c | 821.58$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.53 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed FC Lorient | 21c | 400$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 304 | 48%146 W · 158 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed FC Lorient | 24c | 397.67$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.44 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8796…c744backed FC Lorient | 19c | 393.85$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.83 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked RC Strasbourg Alsace | 78c | 386.81$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.01 | 103 | 64.1%66 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked FC Lorient | 25c | 362.3$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.26 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed FC Lorient | 34c | 342.85$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.87 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…bb62backed FC Lorient | 25c | 318.74$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked RC Strasbourg Alsace | 64c | 300.04$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.98 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 75c | 294.41$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.72 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 79c | 249.97$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.49 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked RC Strasbourg Alsace | 75c | 209.69$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.63 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed FC Lorient | 20c | 187.47$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.42 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x162b…2b8cbacked FC Lorient | 26c | 174.91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed FC Lorient | 26c | 164.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 266 | 60.5%161 W · 105 L | +25.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 79c | 151.79$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.14 | 183 | 51.4%94 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed FC Lorient | 52c | 138.82$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.7 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked FC Lorient | 22c | 138$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed FC Lorient | 52c | 137.91$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.71 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked RC Strasbourg Alsace | 75c | 131.33$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 76c | 129.52$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.98 | 123 | 67.5%83 W · 40 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x848f…4e46backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 78c | 125.25$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.55 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked RC Strasbourg Alsace | 79c | 117.55$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 76c | 113.85$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked RC Strasbourg Alsace | 78c | 109.96$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 79c | 105.29$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.35 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed FC Lorient | 28c | 102.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked RC Strasbourg Alsace | 73c | 102.42$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.65 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed FC Lorient | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed FC Lorient | 23c | 86.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 178 | 17.4%31 W · 147 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4db7…d20ebacked RC Strasbourg Alsace | 72c | 85.14$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed FC Lorient | 25c | 58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…8e8fbacked FC Lorient | 35c | 55.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked RC Strasbourg Alsace | 79c | 54.31$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d12…a4c4backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 73c | 40.28$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x827f…8027backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…56e5backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 67c | 29.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 79c | 27.03$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 79c | 26.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 74c | 24.61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 129 | 63.6%82 W · 47 L | +12.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 74c | 24.61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 74c | 24.61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked RC Strasbourg Alsace | 74c | 24.61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 77c | 19.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a4…d8b4backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 77c | 18.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.21 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47cc…6aa7backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 74c | 14.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC Lorient (-1.5)this page
- FC Lorient vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Lorient vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Lorient vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Lorient vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Lorient vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: FC Lorient (-2.5)RC Strasbourg Alsace won
- Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-1.5)FC Lorient won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.