Ligue 1 · resolved market
FC Lorient vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3c54817f6cc3a8dad53496ad0dc96053de9afa1047a8c32ba620a7e0b6fe888
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,171
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,468
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,171 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 45c | 859.91$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.36 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 40c | 437.47$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.99 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed No | 42c | 400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 41c | 399.99$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 58c | 389.92$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.77 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 59c | 321.85$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.33 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…b6f1backed Yes | 58c | 285.72$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…b43fbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 60c | 179.73$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.89 | 129 | 63.6%82 W · 47 L | +12.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 60c | 179.73$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.89 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 40c | 60.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 304 | 48%146 W · 158 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 58c | 47.78$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 42c | 41.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827f…8027backed No | 42c | 41.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…56e5backed No | 43c | 40.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43f5…40d0backed Yes | 58c | 37.08$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Yes | 60c | 32.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 60c | 32.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f91…4041backed Yes | 60c | 32.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…6ef0backed Yes | 59c | 24.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 46c | 21.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…9fadbacked Yes | 54c | 21.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc709…0a40backed Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6167…a6cabacked Yes | 69c | 18.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Lorient vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- FC Lorient vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Lorient vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Lorient vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Lorient vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: FC Lorient (-1.5)RC Strasbourg Alsace won
- Spread: FC Lorient (-2.5)RC Strasbourg Alsace won
- Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-1.5)FC Lorient won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.