Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6bf4819ac11e8a76bcd87e5a6cace71f959acb0c7f2297c26d1eec18632fe6bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ninjas in Pyjamasof Bilibili Gaming, Ninjas in Pyjamas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,154
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,506
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,154 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Bilibili Gaming | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,900 | 675 | 52.4%354 W · 321 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 41c | 8,651$3,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,104.06 | 537 | 50.5%271 W · 266 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 43c | 6,000$2,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,441.53 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…5eeebacked Bilibili Gaming | 57c | 5,960$3,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,396.99 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 29c | 2,591$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,828.12 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 42c | 2,397$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,396.67 | 225 | 47.6%107 W · 118 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 41c | 2,300$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.99 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | -24.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Bilibili Gaming | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.98 | 579 | 45.9%266 W · 313 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 39c | 1,938$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.38 | 543 | 53.8%292 W · 251 L | +32.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5b…2b2dbacked Bilibili Gaming | 60c | 1,673$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 261 | 55.9%146 W · 115 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Bilibili Gaming | 60c | 1,630$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978 | 321 | 45.5%146 W · 175 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48b8…4b69backed Bilibili Gaming | 58c | 1,501$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.63 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9597…efcabacked Bilibili Gaming | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Bilibili Gaming | 56c | 1,310$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.94 | 704 | 56.4%397 W · 307 L | +39.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf38…848bbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 41c | 1,111$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.49 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0636…c529backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 42c | 899.9$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.94 | 962 | 50.1%482 W · 480 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…50c8backed Bilibili Gaming | 62c | 807.33$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf301…4ce1backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 44c | 700$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 216 | 22.7%49 W · 167 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb25e…39aabacked Bilibili Gaming | 59c | 677.97$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 245 | 70.6%173 W · 72 L | +13.6wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fa…4e74backed Bilibili Gaming | 59c | 675$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b6…e762backed Bilibili Gaming | 59c | 648.15$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Bilibili Gaming | 60c | 640.88$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.53 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 32c | 566.3$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.37 | 131 | 37.4%49 W · 82 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 1,114 | 35%390 W · 724 L | +14.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa941…ec2ebacked Bilibili Gaming | 75c | 454.7$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.03 | 511 | 60.3%308 W · 203 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb627…2d13backed Bilibili Gaming | 77c | 454.55$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 515 | 52.6%271 W · 244 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 42c | 422.47$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.67 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 43c | 400$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 45c | 383.26$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.39 | 141 | 54.6%77 W · 64 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Bilibili Gaming | 76c | 373.92$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.18 | 510 | 44.1%225 W · 285 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Bilibili Gaming | 58c | 367.17$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.96 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Bilibili Gaming | 58c | 320$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.6 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Bilibili Gaming | 74c | 269.14$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.83 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Bilibili Gaming | 58c | 260$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.8 | 362 | 46.4%168 W · 194 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c78…aad1backed Bilibili Gaming | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,251 | 54.1%677 W · 574 L | -29.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…cd3fbacked Bilibili Gaming | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 42c | 250$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed Bilibili Gaming | 60c | 249.28$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…612abacked Bilibili Gaming | 60c | 241.67$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 440 | 46.4%204 W · 236 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 41c | 239.98$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.59 | 605 | 38.8%235 W · 370 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8372…49e8backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 34c | 217.65$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.06 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd10b…3c7ebacked Bilibili Gaming | 60c | 208.33$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 25c | 207.3$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.47 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91dc…7663backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8548…e4c1backed Bilibili Gaming | 60c | 185.98$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.59 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +136.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…93f5backed Bilibili Gaming | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 236 | 72%170 W · 66 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…cd9dbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 41c | 170.73$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.73 | 225 | 62.2%140 W · 85 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…fd02backed Bilibili Gaming | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 187 | 52.4%98 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Bilibili Gaming | 60c | 138.33$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 488 | 52%254 W · 234 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Bilibili Gaming | 60c | 130.56$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.24 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Bilibili Gaming | 58c | 120$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 38c | 111$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.82 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Bilibili Gaming | 59c | 110$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.9 | 647 | 49.9%323 W · 324 L | -24.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab4…b569backed Bilibili Gaming | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2d…4061backed Bilibili Gaming | 60c | 101.21$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.73 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2091…b4f8backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 1,175 | 47.4%557 W · 618 L | +42.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe9…dc0abacked Bilibili Gaming | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c1…3e0bbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 636 | 46.9%298 W · 338 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed Bilibili Gaming | 70c | 99.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 417 | 43.9%183 W · 234 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb03…46dcbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 43c | 99.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 427 | 51.5%220 W · 207 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 41c | 96.91$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.51 | 498 | 47.2%235 W · 263 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eeb…f331backed Bilibili Gaming | 57c | 96.49$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 42c | 90$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Bilibili Gaming | 55c | 88.84$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.86 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e5…74f7backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 41c | 83$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeebe…5d9bbacked Bilibili Gaming | 60c | 82$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 407 | 52.3%213 W · 194 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…48e0backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 43c | 81.71$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.71 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Bilibili Gaming | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 406 | 45.6%185 W · 221 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc76e…caa5backed Bilibili Gaming | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 313 | 52.4%164 W · 149 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 35c | 52.05$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.74 | 238 | 31.5%75 W · 163 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x619e…0149backed Bilibili Gaming | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…7932backed Bilibili Gaming | 57c | 50.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 611 | 50.6%309 W · 302 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…7b79backed Bilibili Gaming | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 576 | 55.9%322 W · 254 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x086c…4932backed Bilibili Gaming | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8c…1991backed Bilibili Gaming | 48c | 48.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 332 | 54.2%180 W · 152 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 501 | 58.3%292 W · 209 L | -17.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0814…875abacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 300 | 57.7%173 W · 127 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 30c | 44.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 40c | 42.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 495 | 14.3%71 W · 424 L | -70.5wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…ea8fbacked Bilibili Gaming | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 118 | 63.6%75 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…c264backed Bilibili Gaming | 76c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 799 | 73.3%586 W · 213 L | +45.9wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x570f…e03dbacked Bilibili Gaming | 59c | 38.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 42c | 37.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…890cbacked Bilibili Gaming | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 152 | 55.3%84 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -8.0wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Bilibili Gaming | 57c | 35.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 229 | 55.5%127 W · 102 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5b…62c7backed Bilibili Gaming | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ff…b4dabacked Bilibili Gaming | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 68.1%47 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf41f…f8a1backed Bilibili Gaming | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3360…b093backed Bilibili Gaming | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…d6fcbacked Bilibili Gaming | 62c | 32.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 158 | 71.5%113 W · 45 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c9…52afbacked Bilibili Gaming | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…f52ebacked Bilibili Gaming | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9f…7e5dbacked Bilibili Gaming | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 204 | 63.2%129 W · 75 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ab…70a2backed Bilibili Gaming | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 347 | 43.5%151 W · 196 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x348a…b63fbacked Bilibili Gaming | 58c | 23.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed Bilibili Gaming | 79c | 22.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 320 | 50%160 W · 160 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 WinnerNinjas in Pyjamas won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.