Premier League · resolved market
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61bd86e87664669076609a4f855052422c64e7bab9a32694b926eb463fc1d799
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,209
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,353
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,209 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 4,650$3,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,617.89 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Over | 35c | 2,830$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.23 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Over | 35c | 2,746$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 65c | 2,264$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.35 | 1,244 | 49.4%615 W · 629 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Over | 37c | 780.16$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.66 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 64c | 596.77$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.93 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 22c | 458.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 1,938 | 42.5%823 W · 1,115 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 14c | 324.8$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.44 | 724 | 42.7%309 W · 415 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 65c | 298.66$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.82 | 810 | 53.6%434 W · 376 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ba…3ca5backed Under | 67c | 291.36$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.28 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 35c | 288.29$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.64 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 76c | 259.37$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.25 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Under | 64c | 215.07$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.43 | 131 | 32.1%42 W · 89 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 19c | 192.63$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.55 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 65c | 155.36$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.38 | 598 | 47.7%285 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 64c | 149.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.99 | 337 | 51.3%173 W · 164 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 35c | 103.31$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.17 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 70c | 88.95$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Under | 64c | 83$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.88 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce2…7e4cbacked Under | 64c | 76.44$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 65c | 55.37$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Over | 35c | 54.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 177 | 55.9%99 W · 78 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Over | 35c | 54.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 67c | 49.01$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b4…01fdbacked Under | 67c | 43.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x619e…0149backed Under | 72c | 40.97$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +30%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…5159backed Over | 37c | 38.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0276…8454backed Under | 69c | 35.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 128 | 54.7%70 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 66c | 29.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 189 | 61.9%117 W · 72 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27d…6dfcbacked Under | 65c | 29.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 68c | 28.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 279 | 48%134 W · 145 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 65c | 28.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 80c | 21.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 1,690 | 34.9%589 W · 1,101 L | -33.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed Under | 63c | 19.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 53 | 67.9%36 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Under | 66c | 18.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce3…1a0dbacked Under | 66c | 16.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 63cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)Wolverhampton Wanderers FC won
- Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-2.5)Wolverhampton Wanderers FC won
- Spread: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-1.5)Tottenham Hotspur FC won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.