TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$54,761
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,175

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,761 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0dcf…c556backed Over59c7,236$4,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,269.039746.4%45 W · 52 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under69c3,907$2,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,210.156,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under41c3,867$1,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,285.372,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over59c3,802$2,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,243.4210739.3%42 W · 65 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under52c3,429$1,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,656.7976842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Under42c2,735$1,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,586.525246.2%24 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e52…b713backed Over36c2,671$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Over58c2,439$1,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,414.876445.3%29 W · 35 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over20c2,395$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.864,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under41c2,289$943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,345.661,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020646.1%95 W · 111 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Under42c1,785$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,035.2812949.6%64 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d35…96afbacked Under46c1,619$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Under60c1,418$851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.254240.5%17 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48b8…4b69backed Over57c1,375$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783.7650%0 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over9c1,349$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.1472142.7%308 W · 413 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over30c1,118$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.981,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under41c1,100$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6498756.3%49 W · 38 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4504153.7%22 W · 19 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+74.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked Over57c927$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.395650%28 W · 28 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under41c914$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.2685048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under41c800$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47212757.5%73 W · 54 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Over4c706.8$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.276317.5%11 W · 52 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under42c667.77$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.0641850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d3e…986cbacked Over40c602.5$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under41c586.99$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.3213155%72 W · 59 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Over5c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253928.2%11 W · 28 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-54.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under42c464$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.1227752.3%145 W · 132 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Under43c452.56$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.4412652.4%66 W · 60 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+11.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5d71…8da4backed Over33c449.96$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.494841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ac2…f949backed Over60c406.67$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2448350.6%42 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under41c399.99$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.9955751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over54c307.94$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.294858.3%28 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under41c302.52$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.1740655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Over60c292.8$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.684151.2%21 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b09…13d3backed Over56c259.1$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.073141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a21…ba51backed Over58c252.1$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.222138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4b3…c131backed Over40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-46.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over58c239.32$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.811,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under64c213.7$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.3748950.1%245 W · 244 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b0a…d357backed Under48c200.61$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.712100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010533.3%35 W · 70 L-8.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-11.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under42c200$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11733551.3%172 W · 163 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Under40c199.99$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12019145%86 W · 105 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee43…ae9dbacked Over60c195.2$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.122157.1%12 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over31c189.32$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.261143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e8c…79bdbacked Over57c186.29$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.195856.9%33 W · 25 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+11.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Under54c181.05$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.2816233.3%54 W · 108 L-14.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdb58…4acebacked Over59c165.32$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5414045%63 W · 77 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over59c165.32$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5428654.2%155 W · 131 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3771…5023backed Over60c162.67$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.61127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-41.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Under42c150$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871643.8%7 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.17per pick26cpaid+70.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under41c150$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.581559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3b…5a53backed Over55c132.68$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.981275%9 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+24.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7291…3d0fbacked Over51c126.77$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.653638.9%14 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under43c112.03$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.8628859.7%172 W · 116 L+19.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under43c112.03$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.8624052.9%127 W · 113 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under43c112.03$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.8616053.1%85 W · 75 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bf7…6f57backed Under42c110$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.8560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+56.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd00…7a45backed Under67c109.72$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2119048.4%92 W · 98 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3d2…6ea7backed Under45c107.44$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.091338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+28.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over51c104.24$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.161,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Over14c103.28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6913132.1%42 W · 89 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1a1…ea66backed Under41c101.81$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.07933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dbe…b1b1backed Over58c100.92$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.4912250%61 W · 61 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508037.5%30 W · 50 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under46c99.98$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.9915738.9%61 W · 96 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under42c98.53$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.1551847.3%245 W · 273 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over47c96.82$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5159645.5%271 W · 325 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Over40c96.4$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5617048.8%83 W · 87 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d30…077dbacked Over47c92$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.243161.3%19 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Over56c90.68$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.787357.5%42 W · 31 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2baf…8023backed Over58c88.81$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.574346.5%20 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over58c83.61$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.59957.6%57 W · 42 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Over59c82.66$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7710343.7%45 W · 58 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Over52c80$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.29953.5%53 W · 46 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Over58c78.17$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.343444.1%15 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under43c70.34$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.2959247.6%282 W · 310 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1683…e4abbacked Over58c67.23$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.997745.5%35 W · 42 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under51c62.33$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5674644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbc4…b2f8backed Over58c59.31$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.32356.5%13 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under41c58.86$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7322146.2%102 W · 119 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd066…9eecbacked Over58c58.82$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1212945.7%59 W · 70 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Under43c57.95$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.037157.7%41 W · 30 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9fb…c51bbacked Over58c56.98$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.052055%11 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x961a…e91cbacked Under43c56.15$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.014963.3%31 W · 18 L+6.3wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+31.7%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x29c4…c3b0backed Under43c54.76$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.212100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+129.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over60c53.68$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2140841.9%171 W · 237 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Over58c50.42$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2417755.9%99 W · 78 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bcd…1a94backed Over58c50.42$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.246354%34 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under43c46.98$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.731,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96f4…b9debacked Under54c45.02$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.71666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+83.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3fc8…6875backed Under43c44.92$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.63259.4%19 W · 13 L+4.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+54.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd1fc…5da8backed Under43c44.43$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.321353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under41c42$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.781,61553%856 W · 759 L+33.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbeb…1b63backed Over60c40.91$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.55771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8956…755fbacked Over60c39.04$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.423259.4%19 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3092…c9a8backed Under42c35.1$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.361662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+65.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf689…3e3fbacked Under43c33.69$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.23737.8%14 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecd5…a3a2backed Over58c33.61$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-47.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.