TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Levante UD vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$86,639
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$95,651

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,639 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xade6…63cbbacked Under59c12,010$7,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,924.15560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Over9c8,375$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.6860147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under76c5,867$4,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,399.83,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Over40c3,750$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.9913645.6%62 W · 74 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f09…9312backed Over46c3,678$1,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,673.432524%6 W · 19 L-4.8wins-0.19per pick43cpaid-52.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Over42c2,908$1,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,231.692853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+21.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under55c2,044$1,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.781,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Over12c1,901$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.8710418.3%19 W · 85 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over35c1,545$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.094,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over29c1,534$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.872040%8 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under65c1,381$902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.1192345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over9c1,166$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.461657.8%356 W · 260 L+42.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over44c1,098$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.196848.5%33 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over45c1,074$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.517731.1%55 W · 122 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51af…8720backed Under61c1,006$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.341330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-32.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Under57c974.2$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.91955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+26.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Under57c854.56$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.469564.2%61 W · 34 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under55c825.9$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.6548251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29b0…3f3cbacked Under55c773.89$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.254548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6394…9749backed Over41c714.77$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.065143.1%22 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Under55c703.08$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.392638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-25.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Over43c657.58$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.765339.6%21 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29b7…48d4backed Over45c644.67$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.17031.4%22 W · 48 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick26cpaid+23.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6556…5c7cbacked Under57c632.38$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.921464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+19.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5522…7695backed Over18c585.69$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.42825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-64.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over45c537.22$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.7511929.4%35 W · 84 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4844…32c9backed Over45c537.22$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.754146.3%19 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under71c521.75$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.151,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabd6…ca90backed Under57c517.74$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.391968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over22c486.46$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.311819.5%23 W · 95 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Over44c409.98$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.3911741.9%49 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cad…0758backed Over43c397.37$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.87850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under56c393.71$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.2350449.8%251 W · 253 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf070…57b8backed Over29c378.83$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.869833.7%33 W · 65 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under56c368.21$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.012,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Under55c359.97$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.996657.6%38 W · 28 L+7.8wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+28.1%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x6785…98c3backed Over38c356.36$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.42333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-34.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Under57c341.82$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.984250%21 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc041…a87bbacked Under57c341.82$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.981275%9 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+37.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbf63…ba76backed Under57c341.82$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.981080%8 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+45.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa4e3…c8dcbacked Over45c322.33$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.05520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-48.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10522939.3%90 W · 139 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Over32c299.61$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.4612626.2%33 W · 93 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick30cpaid+9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under67c297.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.4283444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over33c291.92$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.3417128.1%48 W · 123 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under56c272.5$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.948153.6%258 W · 223 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under60c263.52$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.4122446%103 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under74c260.22$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.1457139.2%224 W · 347 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0c3…dde1backed Over16c240.76$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.182733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over32c240$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.813551.1%69 W · 66 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb581…1b9cbacked Over44c219.42$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.546861.8%42 W · 26 L+7.6wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+25.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over45c214.89$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.78041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e68…16c7backed Over45c214.89$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.74146.3%19 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over45c213.81$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.225944.1%26 W · 33 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under55c199.54$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.3515344.4%68 W · 85 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc11…c87bbacked Under57c194.84$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.785461.1%33 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9691…c6e7backed Under56c194.72$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.683834.2%13 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd354…1d4abacked Under57c178.02$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over45c176.25$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.318354.2%45 W · 38 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x780f…5f16backed Under57c170.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.491741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd41b…f231backed Over45c169.76$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.396334.9%22 W · 41 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaacb…03b7backed Over41c168.69$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.162751.9%14 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over43c160.26$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.9123957.7%138 W · 101 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb143…cadebacked Over51c158.97$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.151233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-36.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8c93…8967backed Under55c150$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.51747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over39c149.33$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3220241.6%84 W · 118 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over18c139.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.241751.8%216 W · 201 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over36c134.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0542158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x88c5…2909backed Over44c130.46$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.42343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca3a…9806backed Under60c130$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.9250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-16.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2d3…aafbbacked Over15c121.7$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.822138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x276d…ea8fbacked Under62c111.67$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.433100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1669…1363backed Over45c107.44$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.351020%2 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-34.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xccfa…6ee7backed Over36c104.79$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.292326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-42.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over44c98.84$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.4922729.1%66 W · 161 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef3a…dc6bbacked Under59c97.54$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.995352.8%28 W · 25 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed Over45c96.7$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5216342.3%69 W · 94 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ce1…a25dbacked Over41c96.46$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.552347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8858…ed3ebacked Over44c91.69$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.342152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x578f…eafabacked Under57c85.46$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.75580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+41.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over42c85.03$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7110554.3%57 W · 48 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over41c84.7$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7311741.9%49 W · 68 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+20.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Under60c81.69$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.6812964.3%83 W · 46 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Over45c76.64$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.498353%44 W · 39 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over44c75.03$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6424546.9%115 W · 130 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Over28c74.62$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7910127.7%28 W · 73 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-35.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under58c73.74$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.9720142.8%86 W · 115 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over43c72$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9628045.4%127 W · 153 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed Under78c66.38$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.746060%36 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18d6…2245backed Over44c65.89$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1272…37e7backed Over45c64.47$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.01633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-47.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under78c63.16$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8924344.4%108 W · 135 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f46…76f5backed Over44c61.56$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.341154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa185…497abacked Over45c58.84$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4830%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under55c55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.751,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under56c54.23$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8668450.6%346 W · 338 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Over45c53.72$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.185841.4%24 W · 34 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed Over45c53.72$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.187958.2%46 W · 33 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over45c53.72$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1820441.7%85 W · 119 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbffd…fa8ebacked Over45c53.68$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.161250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.