Champions League · resolved market
Will Paris Saint-Germain win Group B at the FIFA Club World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xccf60f7f50863bf2900b2cf4196dd77fab28df7ddeb3bbf8e07ae477de2fb3fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $107,930
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $118,108
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,930 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 40c | 7,742$3,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,613.22 | 291 | 36.8%107 W · 184 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 44c | 7,648$3,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,341.16 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 43c | 6,500$2,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,814.98 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 5,956$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.93 | 187 | 7%13 W · 174 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfffa…864bbacked Yes | 63c | 5,201$3,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,925.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc853…9d37backed No | 44c | 4,036$1,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,779.23 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0107…96c5backed Yes | 60c | 3,701$2,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,498.54 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed Yes | 46c | 3,645$1,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,985.07 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 55c | 3,443$1,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,549.17 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfda…bedebacked Yes | 49c | 3,140$1,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,607.83 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.8wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +46%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 38c | 3,109$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.53 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa93a…0f5cbacked Yes | 58c | 2,717$1,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.5 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 28cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 40c | 2,480$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.17 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked Yes | 55c | 2,078$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.99 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Yes | 53c | 1,583$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.26 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 6c | 1,580$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.7 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4406…4b19backed No | 42c | 1,469$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.25 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 52c | 1,421$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.74 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…f137backed No | 59c | 1,229$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed No | 37c | 1,224$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.65 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 51c | 1,022$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.58 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Yes | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cee…f962backed Yes | 56c | 1,000$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a1…af66backed Yes | 56c | 994$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.3 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 50c | 967$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.38 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Yes | 59c | 756.91$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.95 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6771…b783backed Yes | 48c | 719.85$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.76 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 6c | 683$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.15 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed No | 26c | 624.34$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.69 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5270…4c8bbacked Yes | 59c | 581.42$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.16 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed No | 43c | 581.4$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf68…3fdebacked Yes | 56c | 540$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c8…1efabacked Yes | 58c | 427.46$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.46 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaa…7688backed Yes | 59c | 412.27$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.04 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 41c | 400$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd747…8667backed Yes | 51c | 393.84$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes | 50c | 382.83$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.38 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1e…49d9backed No | 5c | 355.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x090c…b0cfbacked Yes | 48c | 320$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x235a…b3b8backed Yes | 59c | 306.09$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.54 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +3.8wins | +0.25per pick | 62cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 32c | 300$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.12 | 219 | 38.4%84 W · 135 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked Yes | 70c | 286.52$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.14 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +5.7wins | +0.25per pick | 49cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf937…6b43backed Yes | 57c | 278$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.58 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca0…140ebacked Yes | 59c | 270.69$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.69 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a0…4134backed Yes | 39c | 255.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…1070backed Yes | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae55…41c0backed Yes | 45c | 242$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.79 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 9c | 241.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked No | 32c | 224.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.92 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 123 | 30.1%37 W · 86 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e276backed Yes | 49c | 204.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.27 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.2 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…df9bbacked Yes | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7be2…c5efbacked Yes | 59c | 200$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed No | 44c | 199.98$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.99 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…4817backed No | 43c | 199.97$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc3…2626backed Yes | 56c | 190$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 82 | 24.4%20 W · 62 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…c040backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Yes | 59c | 170.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.37 | 159 | 66.7%106 W · 53 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 37c | 167.05$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.37 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 47c | 151.55$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.02 | 173 | 22%38 W · 135 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6281…53afbacked Yes | 58c | 150.98$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.98 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed Yes | 41c | 150$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +8.2wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…7e3bbacked Yes | 47c | 144.69$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe06…d5d5backed No | 43c | 139.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.19 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf960…ba50backed Yes | 57c | 130$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e43…2578backed Yes | 56c | 129.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.19 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…7c9fbacked No | 31c | 126$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…18a1backed No | 8c | 123$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Yes | 38c | 114.03$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.46 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 63c | 109.9$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.23 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb841…3cfbbacked No | 42c | 109.52$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -3.1wins | -0.44per pick | 72cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed No | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32f…5866backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33a5…baffbacked Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x442a…7c94backed No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82c3…490bbacked Yes | 60c | 96.35$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.54 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…0b68backed Yes | 53c | 92.83$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.03 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…ab8fbacked Yes | 56c | 89.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.21 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 57c | 88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.84 | 225 | 47.6%107 W · 118 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…71b6backed Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d92…52d1backed Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 228 | 47.8%109 W · 119 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacaf…abaabacked Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc24a…5cd7backed Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.5wins | -0.44per pick | 69cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1711…3643backed Yes | 51c | 81.98$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…67c9backed Yes | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x573a…2f21backed Yes | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked Yes | 59c | 80$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4116…330abacked Yes | 51c | 78.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97df…3088backed Yes | 56c | 78$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac2…1966backed Yes | 52c | 77.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.07 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…93fabacked No | 41c | 76$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 42c | 68$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.78 | 163 | 27%44 W · 119 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc8…0b6cbacked Yes | 58c | 63.79$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb825…7aa8backed Yes | 30c | 63.21$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.21 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paris Saint-Germain win Group B at the FIFA Club World Cup?this page
- Will Atlético Madrid win Group B at the FIFA Club World Cup?No won
- Will Botafogo win Group B at the FIFA Club World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.