TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Torino FC vs. Parma Calcio 1913 end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$130,440

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,440 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes19c21,059$3,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,906.862,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Yes40c13,863$5,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,545.91428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-40.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d5c…4302backed Yes42c13,144$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,50010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No74c12,614$9,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,315.8696942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No72c11,977$8,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,324.051,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No59c11,610$6,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,737.7534643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed Yes31c7,667$2,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,376.652766.7%18 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed No69c7,137$4,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,217.64971.4%35 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No68c4,162$2,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,332.5941854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed No68c3,050$2,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9761741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes32c2,364$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.4822348.4%108 W · 115 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes32c2,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64016045%72 W · 88 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa10e…4ea1backed Yes5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001040%4 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+30.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes32c1,800$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5764445.5%20 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes32c1,598$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.2715844.3%70 W · 88 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf747…7d29backed Yes32c1,557$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004546.7%21 W · 24 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+31.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes23c1,498$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.1393252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe726…4c87backed Yes32c1,384$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4431827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes32c1,283$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.543348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No68c1,258$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.4498544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes23c1,184$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.828342.2%35 W · 48 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4922…34a7backed Yes1c1,111$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.111118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick13cpaid-38.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes33c942.42$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3111926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb8a…f7b1backed Yes33c827$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes31c799.99$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.4640549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Yes32c781.25$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes32c751$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.3748144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes32c722.99$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.3644753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f5e…58efbacked No68c645.75$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.742100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes31c624$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.4435646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6b1…a7b6backed Yes32c500$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15542347.8%202 W · 221 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6538…0a4dbacked Yes32c449$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.681844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0be0…51cabacked Yes32c410$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.79333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-24.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes32c407$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.2437250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes31c401.06$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.0568750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No78c400$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9016819.6%33 W · 135 L+0.5wins0.00per pick19cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7409…65a6backed Yes30c392$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.245271.2%37 W · 15 L+7.4wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+29.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes24c374.15$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.323240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No68c371.85$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.9926040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes6c366.08$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6951139.1%200 W · 311 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005236.5%19 W · 33 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No68c320.07$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.4226046.9%122 W · 138 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes32c312$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8441943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b93…e941backed No68c310$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.2875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No68c300$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9621445.8%98 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes31c300$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9331441.4%130 W · 184 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeaed…580bbacked No69c298.72$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.6850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2628…757bbacked No64c269.9$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.76560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e36…6ce1backed No68c258.82$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.82771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Yes32c250$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808058.8%47 W · 33 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5562…3b41backed Yes33c250$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.139353.8%50 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3319…8527backed No69c250$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.5988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.32per pick57cpaid+80.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Yes32c250$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804932.7%16 W · 33 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-21.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No71c241.41$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.8720431.4%64 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1670…2277backed Yes32c231.25$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744344.2%19 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes32c227$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.419137.4%34 W · 57 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes32c214.97$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.3965254.1%353 W · 299 L+19.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes32c203.13$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657237.5%27 W · 45 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646628.8%19 W · 47 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-30.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0386…95cfbacked Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd399…185fbacked No69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9342…4d78backed No68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64875%6 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+33.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb1a…0b60backed No68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641782.4%14 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.20per pick62cpaid+33.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbbcb…575ebacked Yes21c199.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9a6…1c3fbacked Yes32c191.03$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.48520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbaa…7688backed Yes33c181.82$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes32c181.47$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.075726.3%15 W · 42 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9901…6adbbacked Yes32c167.52$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.441533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No78c156.53$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.9911667.2%78 W · 38 L+10.9wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+14.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Yes32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5033144.7%148 W · 183 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…bf20backed Yes39c154.59$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-41%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4951…3038backed No69c152.17$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.171258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick67cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6580…6fa8backed Yes32c150.32$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.11526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Yes31c150$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.59045.6%41 W · 49 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked No68c150$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488958.4%52 W · 37 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x723d…1b85backed Yes32c141.3$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No76c122$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2846742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f1…d87bbacked No68c116.79$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.26666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fa6…1fe8backed Yes32c112.84$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Yes32c109$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.883828.9%11 W · 27 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes18c101.88$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1523244%102 W · 130 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325176.5%39 W · 12 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick66cpaid+9.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7c09…dfb9backed No68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6bde…b181backed Yes31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-55.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f9b…1380backed Yes21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfccd…02d6backed No68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324379.1%34 W · 9 L+6.7wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+21.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes32c99.97$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9426747.2%126 W · 141 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd571…d24abacked Yes33c93.94$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316241.9%26 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes32c93.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303330.3%10 W · 23 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-26.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked No69c93.1$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8614553.1%77 W · 68 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaffe…7140backed Yes32c91$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.123426.5%9 W · 25 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x86a8…d0e7backed Yes33c90.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305653.6%30 W · 26 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes32c86.72$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3239354.2%213 W · 180 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d60…8cc1backed Yes32c78.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2590%0 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfdb4…1eb1backed Yes33c75.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251225%3 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-26.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No79c71.16$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2429862.4%186 W · 112 L+34.5wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x89dc…4896backed Yes32c65.63$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed No68c65$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.823245.3%105 W · 127 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes33c63.83$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2120741.5%86 W · 121 L+0.9wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.