Fifa International · resolved market
Will Italy vs. Northern Ireland end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e3501abc1b3d94f39c6dcb33d35c8811dde3ab325d83288a2e31f838cd3f94f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,343
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $99,368
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,343 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xab82…abe5backed Yes | 10c | 49,252$4,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,925.17 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -53%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 16c | 3,746$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.39 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…cd4abacked Yes | 2c | 3,501$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.05 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…b084backed Yes | 16c | 2,540$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.39 | 232 | 40.5%94 W · 138 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | +11.1wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 78c | 1,700$1,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.47 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +18.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 10c | 1,597$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.02 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 26c | 1,538$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 142 | 46.5%66 W · 76 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe726…4c87backed Yes | 17c | 1,425$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 21c | 1,418$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.48 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 16c | 1,273$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.47 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b1…3678backed Yes | 25c | 1,234$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Yes | 16c | 900$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 74c | 855.34$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.29 | 103 | 66%68 W · 35 L | +12.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf692…dd55backed Yes | 12c | 842.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 16c | 654.98$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.8 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Yes | 8c | 638.92$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.11 | 207 | 31.4%65 W · 142 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 16c | 617.78$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.84 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7929…45fcbacked Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 75c | 532.5$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.28 | 259 | 54.8%142 W · 117 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x348a…9c6bbacked Yes | 16c | 450$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 15c | 440.75$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.11 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes | 12c | 417.16$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.82 | 302 | 20.2%61 W · 241 L | -15.6wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b0…f879backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74bb…1759backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 13c | 407.01$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.24 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed No | 76c | 372.37$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.37 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed No | 75c | 360.2$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.51 | 158 | 59.5%94 W · 64 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 17c | 352.94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…0170backed Yes | 17c | 303$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.15 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39a7…ffedbacked No | 77c | 290.97$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 11c | 287.33$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.54 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaa…7688backed Yes | 24c | 280.63$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.35 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe29b…da59backed Yes | 18c | 257.84$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.25 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5792…6481backed Yes | 25c | 257$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c7…bb75backed Yes | 12c | 241.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.51 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 17c | 200$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa010…112ebacked Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39bb…8d44backed Yes | 16c | 181.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x030d…8e95backed No | 75c | 157.53$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.89 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 10c | 147.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…6bb8backed Yes | 16c | 123.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…08a1backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 296 | 45.6%135 W · 161 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe69b…413dbacked Yes | 16c | 114$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb623…2b85backed Yes | 17c | 113$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f69…d73ebacked Yes | 17c | 111$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 67c | 110.56$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.56 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…8d6ebacked Yes | 17c | 109$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb3…e4a0backed Yes | 17c | 106.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8441…7925backed Yes | 22c | 101$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b3…cf22backed Yes | 17c | 101$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1edf…2392backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 159 | 45.3%72 W · 87 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc2…e37abacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5c…2ee3backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1783…885cbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09e2…dd3abacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed Yes | 16c | 99.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…5c65backed Yes | 16c | 98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe3…2790backed Yes | 17c | 98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2d…c0ecbacked Yes | 17c | 97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…4237backed No | 79c | 95.85$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Yes | 22c | 93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 18c | 89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 76c | 79.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Yes | 22c | 78.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 464 | 45.5%211 W · 253 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49d…91a8backed Yes | 22c | 69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f5…8ad6backed No | 75c | 65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked No | 77c | 64$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 16c | 63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 67c | 46.23$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 167 | 55.1%92 W · 75 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed No | 80c | 44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a05…8573backed No | 73c | 27.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ff…edfdbacked No | 74c | 15.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 77c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.24 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Italy vs. Northern Ireland end in a draw?this page
- Will Italy win on 2026-03-26?Yes won
- Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-03-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.