Champions League · resolved market
FIFA Club World Cup: Manchester City vs. Al Hilal (To Advance)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8808a9334033efa74239ddae0d89c07475ad36c335aa65c5d395f1d886b19b50
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Al Hilal of Man City, Al Hilal
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $316,255
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $316,745
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $316,255 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Al Hilal | 12c | 29,488$3,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,925.75 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Al Hilal | 13c | 26,405$3,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,874.06 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Al Hilal | 14c | 22,099$3,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,005.24 | 187 | 58.8%110 W · 77 L | +18.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Al Hilal | 28c | 7,797$2,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,628.78 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Man City | 70c | 7,477$5,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,264.56 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Al Hilal | 12c | 6,726$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,936.31 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Al Hilal | 11c | 6,483$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,772.17 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…005fbacked Al Hilal | 78c | 6,145$4,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Al Hilal | 11c | 5,324$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,738.59 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Man City | 63c | 5,256$3,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,309.35 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Man City | 17c | 4,911$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.92 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Al Hilal | 11c | 4,085$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,635.83 | 176 | 58.5%103 W · 73 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Al Hilal | 10c | 3,796$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,401.55 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Al Hilal | 11c | 3,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,669.98 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +12.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…2427backed Al Hilal | 12c | 2,762$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,430.58 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Man City | 3c | 2,542$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.25 | 132 | 32.6%43 W · 89 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +172.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Man City | 12c | 2,365$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.26 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Al Hilal | 17c | 2,193$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,816.7 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Al Hilal | 57c | 2,089$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.78 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Al Hilal | 11c | 2,055$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,828.55 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Al Hilal | 10c | 2,053$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,843.11 | 249 | 63.1%157 W · 92 L | +45.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x24a1…d723backed Al Hilal | 13c | 1,923$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,673.08 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Al Hilal | 11c | 1,901$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.83 | 383 | 56.7%217 W · 166 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8e…27ffbacked Al Hilal | 27c | 1,747$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +272.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Al Hilal | 11c | 1,734$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,543.32 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcce…3e55backed Al Hilal | 10c | 1,714$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,535.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +381.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Al Hilal | 13c | 1,500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…9e88backed Al Hilal | 10c | 1,452$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.79 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf05…b6cebacked Man City | 71c | 1,410$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.23 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…c3ddbacked Man City | 51c | 1,281$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.4 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Al Hilal | 12c | 1,123$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.87 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Man City | 59c | 1,113$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.79 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed Al Hilal | 10c | 1,086$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.4 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Man City | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Al Hilal | 13c | 999.99$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.99 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Al Hilal | 31c | 945.2$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.78 | 219 | 38.4%84 W · 135 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e30…1072backed Al Hilal | 11c | 937$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.93 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…e37cbacked Man City | 75c | 932.32$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.55 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Al Hilal | 59c | 900$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.5 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x429d…39a7backed Man City | 20c | 895.96$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.96 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12da…9dc2backed Al Hilal | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98b0…5c7ebacked Al Hilal | 7c | 718$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,407.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Al Hilal | 60c | 610.97$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.39 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fbe…d7e1backed Man City | 27c | 574.41$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.58 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Al Hilal | 11c | 570.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.32 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Al Hilal | 12c | 500$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +106.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Al Hilal | 14c | 499.96$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.97 | 344 | 49.7%171 W · 173 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Al Hilal | 10c | 499.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.91 | 225 | 47.6%107 W · 118 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfba…9398backed Al Hilal | 12c | 488.33$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.73 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2751…1678backed Al Hilal | 22c | 460.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.74 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Al Hilal | 11c | 460$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.4 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…7465backed Man City | 5c | 455.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Al Hilal | 20c | 443$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.17 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x062e…9747backed Al Hilal | 12c | 420$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6281…53afbacked Al Hilal | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3661…5b89backed Man City | 27c | 400$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.5 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Man City | 10c | 390$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcd…5263backed Man City | 13c | 383.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Al Hilal | 11c | 353.01$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.42 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Al Hilal | 21c | 345.69$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa628…1943backed Al Hilal | 5c | 319.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.78 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +172.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…8e0ebacked Al Hilal | 16c | 318.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.06 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Man City | 5c | 316.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 107 | 17.8%19 W · 88 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Al Hilal | 11c | 311.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.6 | 163 | 27%44 W · 119 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c3…ad79backed Man City | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…a3cabacked Al Hilal | 11c | 277.49$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.8 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e9…3166backed Al Hilal | 42c | 261.76$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.76 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8cba…1d68backed Man City | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf63a…90e6backed Al Hilal | 51c | 233.23$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.81 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75b1…e2e8backed Man City | 77c | 222.36$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.02 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7516…c308backed Al Hilal | 28c | 218.36$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.31 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +23%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Al Hilal | 12c | 212$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.56 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6fed…fa70backed Al Hilal | 12c | 207.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +82.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Al Hilal | 11c | 200$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Man City | 21c | 200$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.33 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed Man City | 74c | 199.98$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.98 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Al Hilal | 13c | 192.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.64 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89a7…f85abacked Al Hilal | 56c | 190.95$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Al Hilal | 12c | 180$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.4 | 291 | 42.3%123 W · 168 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Al Hilal | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Al Hilal | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.67 | 114 | 29.8%34 W · 80 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9149…7b93backed Al Hilal | 12c | 166.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +227.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed Al Hilal | 13c | 162.54$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.41 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b36…6a68backed Man City | 79c | 160$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Al Hilal | 9c | 156$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.96 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Al Hilal | 12c | 150$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Al Hilal | 23c | 148.65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.46 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed95…b1e6backed Al Hilal | 12c | 148.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.57 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a59…57dabacked Man City | 68c | 148.28$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed Man City | 53c | 147$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.51 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6955…41e9backed Man City | 69c | 143.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.35 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e88…bd30backed Al Hilal | 26c | 129.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.69 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e50…948abacked Al Hilal | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Al Hilal | 31c | 116$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.84 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea0…3ac7backed Al Hilal | 12c | 113.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x334d…63f2backed Al Hilal | 28c | 106.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +255%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Al Hilal | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942f…475ebacked Man City | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6a…c597backed Man City | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Man City | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.