CS2 · resolved market
CS: FURIA vs paiN
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x078611bce7d928dba0ff0a80e16b9e746a30fa25fcaa8fd94ccd224194b3a7c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FURIAof FURIA, paiN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,060
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,170
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,060 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked paiN | 27c | 6,015$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.42 | 214 | 24.8%53 W · 161 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed FURIA | 73c | 5,000$3,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352 | 196 | 60.7%119 W · 77 L | -13.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed FURIA | 72c | 1,870$1,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.44 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked paiN | 27c | 1,450$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.5 | 208 | 55.3%115 W · 93 L | +18.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed paiN | 19c | 1,180$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.78 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…c82fbacked FURIA | 74c | 1,180$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.71 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -8.6wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc5…53c3backed FURIA | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked paiN | 14c | 773.57$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.6 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked FURIA | 72c | 705$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.45 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked paiN | 5c | 702.71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.06 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked paiN | 28c | 700$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked FURIA | 70c | 698.56$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.68 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa1…99ffbacked paiN | 29c | 689.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -6.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed paiN | 27c | 666.66$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…7465backed paiN | 28c | 654.97$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.39 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a0…dab5backed paiN | 10c | 598.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.89 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed paiN | 10c | 557.21$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.72 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x215d…ba6dbacked paiN | 29c | 512.6$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked paiN | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1caf…7e6abacked paiN | 11c | 499.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.21per pick | 31cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed FURIA | 74c | 448$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.48 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed paiN | 28c | 429$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.12 | 249 | 35.7%89 W · 160 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed paiN | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…2612backed paiN | 27c | 400$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -11.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ee…6102backed FURIA | 74c | 301.3$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.34 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.43per pick | 60cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed FURIA | 72c | 276.39$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.39 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed FURIA | 73c | 273.96$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 426 | 38%162 W · 264 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…a924backed FURIA | 74c | 239.05$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.15 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed paiN | 21c | 225.71$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.71 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…e407backed paiN | 27c | 194.35$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.47 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d5…9562backed FURIA | 78c | 180.56$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.72 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed FURIA | 75c | 180$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed paiN | 28c | 177.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed paiN | 29c | 175$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.75 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed FURIA | 72c | 166.04$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.49 | 374 | 48.4%181 W · 193 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7594…1f03backed paiN | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 116 | 25.9%30 W · 86 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked paiN | 26c | 150$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 220 | 56.4%124 W · 96 L | +19.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa52c…ef80backed FURIA | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed FURIA | 74c | 140.85$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.62 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4709…bda7backed FURIA | 72c | 137.65$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.54 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed FURIA | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a12…e633backed FURIA | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 300 | 39.7%119 W · 181 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a05…5c62backed paiN | 28c | 112.89$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.61 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd053…3202backed paiN | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…4a51backed FURIA | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19f1…f301backed FURIA | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 201 | 57.7%116 W · 85 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02aa…9c2abacked FURIA | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 289 | 64%185 W · 104 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed paiN | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 687 | 53.9%370 W · 317 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked paiN | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…d40dbacked FURIA | 74c | 55.3$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed paiN | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked FURIA | 70c | 44.16$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.04 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed FURIA | 68c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 135 | 32.6%44 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed FURIA | 64c | 29.31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddd…6144backed FURIA | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4b…4b9fbacked FURIA | 74c | 14.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.