CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Fluxo (BO1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31ae99cde7d852300994d6c3d51b1880ba4f93c35068410bf13d5942be71e236
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TYLOOof TYLOO, Fluxo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,840
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,436
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,840 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Fluxo | 28c | 4,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 1,089 | 50.9%554 W · 535 L | +38.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked TYLOO | 72c | 3,638$2,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.68 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed TYLOO | 73c | 3,066$2,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.71 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Fluxo | 56c | 1,947$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 244 | 40.6%99 W · 145 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…4d8bbacked TYLOO | 74c | 1,697$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.22 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Fluxo | 28c | 1,354$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.23 | 216 | 45.4%98 W · 118 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Fluxo | 26c | 1,250$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6937…085dbacked Fluxo | 28c | 1,165$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.08 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Fluxo | 26c | 1,156$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.65 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked TYLOO | 71c | 1,108$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.01 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked TYLOO | 69c | 967.81$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.02 | 121 | 45.5%55 W · 66 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…3cdcbacked Fluxo | 31c | 967.81$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66a…9157backed TYLOO | 77c | 957.55$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.86 | 102 | 38.2%39 W · 63 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked TYLOO | 43c | 794.32$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.62 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Fluxo | 23c | 599.99$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6bbdbacked Fluxo | 29c | 517.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…7465backed Fluxo | 49c | 386.63$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.45 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed Fluxo | 53c | 333$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.49 | 157 | 49%77 W · 80 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9f…45debacked TYLOO | 56c | 331.57$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.26 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked TYLOO | 70c | 275.58$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.67 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c8…695fbacked Fluxo | 33c | 239.39$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked Fluxo | 38c | 228.08$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.19 | 142 | 33.8%48 W · 94 L | -18.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x215d…ba6dbacked Fluxo | 50c | 199.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked TYLOO | 59c | 149.73$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.59 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4709…bda7backed Fluxo | 25c | 148.8$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Fluxo | 34c | 113.87$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.59 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…3964backed Fluxo | 26c | 99.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed TYLOO | 51c | 84.31$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.31 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98f6…79d2backed TYLOO | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 378 | 51.9%196 W · 182 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed TYLOO | 53c | 62.91$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.57 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Fluxo | 41c | 60.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked TYLOO | 56c | 51.74$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.74 | 200 | 52.5%105 W · 95 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae1…5cacbacked TYLOO | 49c | 51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed TYLOO | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 692 | 53.6%371 W · 321 L | -23.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…e0d7backed Fluxo | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 211 | 41.7%88 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…79f9backed Fluxo | 28c | 42.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -13.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb358…122cbacked Fluxo | 40c | 36.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd612…0bc1backed TYLOO | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 115 | 65.2%75 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5666…7949backed TYLOO | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed TYLOO | 67c | 23.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked TYLOO | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 354 | 54.2%192 W · 162 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.